MATCHES / #2394881
HLTV
T1 · BO1 CS2 · 2026-06-07 FINAL
Monte
Monte
WINNER
1 : 0
SERIES COMPLETE
Legacy
Legacy
CHALLENGER

Prediction breakdown

✗ WRONG CALL
Monte 44% Legacy 56%
WHY — TOP FEATURE DRIVERS (SHAP)
Map-pool Elo -0.322
Rest days +0.099
Schedule strength -0.097
SHADOW BET 5.1u @ 1.802 → -5.1u half-Kelly sizing · paper only

OUTCOME PROBABILITY

44%
Monte
MODEL ODDS
0.44
BET ODDS
1.802

Veto simulation & map probabilities

BO3 BAN/PICK SIM
vertigo 58% Monte
mirage 44% Monte
inferno 46% Monte
overpass 46% Monte
dust2 47% Monte
anubis 53% Monte
ancient 48% Monte
nuke 48% Monte
Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.
PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS
ancient 13 – 11 Monte took the map.

No Demo Data

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