T1 · BO3
CS2 · 2026-06-08
FINAL
Astralis
CHALLENGER
0
:
2
SERIES COMPLETE
paiN
WINNER
/// CQ-GESUS-ORACLE v1 · PRIMARY
Prediction breakdown
Astralis 51%
paiN 49%
WHY — TOP FEATURE DRIVERS (SHAP)
econ anti eco wr t1
-0.121
Map-pool Elo
+0.094
Elo edge
-0.094
SHADOW BET
1.0u @ 1.957 → -1.0u
half-Kelly sizing · paper only
OUTCOME PROBABILITY
51%
Astralis
MODEL ODDS
0.51
BET ODDS
1.957
/// MIRAGE v6 PER-MAP ENGINE
Veto simulation & map probabilities
anubis
0% Astralis
overpass
66% Astralis
ancient
64% Astralis
mirage
38% Astralis
dust2
41% Astralis
vertigo
44% Astralis
nuke
46% Astralis
inferno
53% Astralis
Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.
PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS
nuke
11 – 13
paiN took the map.
overpass
4 – 13
paiN took the map.
No Demo Data
Player stats and round-by-round analysis require a validated V4 demo. This match is queued for parsing.