T3 · BO3
CS2 · 2026-06-07
FINAL
ARCRED
CHALLENGER
0
:
2
SERIES COMPLETE
Walczaki
WINNER
/// CQ-GESUS-ORACLE v1 · PRIMARY
Prediction breakdown
ARCRED 55%
Walczaki 45%
WHY — TOP FEATURE DRIVERS (SHAP)
Map-pool Elo
+0.345
Elo edge
-0.267
econ avg equip t1
-0.151
SHADOW BET
3.6u @ 1.850 → -3.6u
half-Kelly sizing · paper only
OUTCOME PROBABILITY
55%
ARCRED
MODEL ODDS
0.55
BET ODDS
1.850
/// MIRAGE v6 PER-MAP ENGINE
Veto simulation & map probabilities
overpass
100% ARCRED
ancient
34% ARCRED
mirage
38% ARCRED
inferno
39% ARCRED
nuke
41% ARCRED
anubis
43% ARCRED
dust2
56% ARCRED
vertigo
56% WR (9/16)
Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.
PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS
mirage
8 – 13
Walczaki took the map.
ancient
10 – 13
Walczaki took the map.
No Demo Data
Player stats and round-by-round analysis require a validated V4 demo. This match is queued for parsing.