T3 · BO3
CS2 · 2026-06-08
FINAL
KOLESIE
WINNER
2
:
0
SERIES COMPLETE
ASTRAL
CHALLENGER
/// CQ-GESUS-ORACLE v1 · PRIMARY
Prediction breakdown
KOLESIE 62%
ASTRAL 38%
WHY — TOP FEATURE DRIVERS (SHAP)
Elo edge
-0.267
Pistol rounds
+0.190
Map-pool Elo
+0.186
SHADOW BET
9.9u @ 1.666 → +6.6u
half-Kelly sizing · paper only
OUTCOME PROBABILITY
62%
KOLESIE
MODEL ODDS
0.62
BET ODDS
1.666
/// MIRAGE v6 PER-MAP ENGINE
Veto simulation & map probabilities
nuke
62% KOLESIE
ancient
56% KOLESIE
mirage
55% KOLESIE
dust2
43% KOLESIE
anubis
51% KOLESIE
overpass
60% WR (9/15)
Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.
PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS
nuke
13 – 8
KOLESIE took the map.
anubis
16 – 12
KOLESIE took the map.
No Demo Data
Player stats and round-by-round analysis require a validated V4 demo. This match is queued for parsing.