T3 · BO3
CS2 · 2026-06-08
FINAL
Ursa
CHALLENGER
1
:
2
SERIES COMPLETE
RUSTEC
WINNER
/// CQ-GESUS-ORACLE v1 · PRIMARY
Prediction breakdown
Ursa 45%
RUSTEC 55%
WHY — TOP FEATURE DRIVERS (SHAP)
Elo edge
-0.179
econ eco freq diff
-0.107
Map-pool Elo
+0.086
SHADOW BET
3.6u @ 1.843 → +3.0u
half-Kelly sizing · paper only
OUTCOME PROBABILITY
45%
Ursa
MODEL ODDS
0.45
BET ODDS
1.843
/// MIRAGE v6 PER-MAP ENGINE
Veto simulation & map probabilities
anubis
74% Ursa
ancient
0% Ursa
overpass
37% Ursa
inferno
39% Ursa
dust2
60% Ursa
mirage
53% Ursa
nuke
48% Ursa
Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.
PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS
inferno
7 – 13
RUSTEC took the map.
dust2
8 – 13
RUSTEC took the map.
overpass
19 – 16
Ursa took the map.
No Demo Data
Player stats and round-by-round analysis require a validated V4 demo. This match is queued for parsing.
TEAMS
PLAYERS IN THIS MATCH