MATCHES / #2395117
HLTV
T3 · BO3 CS2 · 2026-06-09 FINAL
KOLESIE
KOLESIE
WINNER
2 : 0
SERIES COMPLETE
RUSTEC
RUSTEC
CHALLENGER

Prediction breakdown

✗ WRONG CALL
KOLESIE 44% RUSTEC 56%
WHY — TOP FEATURE DRIVERS (SHAP)
Elo edge -0.274
Map-pool Elo +0.205
Schedule strength -0.162
SHADOW BET 4.8u @ 1.802 → -4.8u half-Kelly sizing · paper only

OUTCOME PROBABILITY

44%
KOLESIE
MODEL ODDS
0.44
BET ODDS
1.802

Veto simulation & map probabilities

BO3 BAN/PICK SIM
anubis 70% KOLESIE
ancient 62% KOLESIE
nuke 60% KOLESIE
mirage 60% KOLESIE
overpass 44% KOLESIE
dust2 45% KOLESIE
Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.
PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS
mirage 13 – 9 KOLESIE took the map.
nuke 13 – 9 KOLESIE took the map.

No Demo Data

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