MATCHES / #2395158
HLTV
T2 · BO3 CS2 · 2026-06-06 FINAL
ex-Zero Tenacity
ex-Zero Tenacity
WINNER
2 : 1
SERIES COMPLETE
BIG Academy
BIG Academy
CHALLENGER

Prediction breakdown

✗ WRONG CALL
ex-Zero Tenacity 44% BIG Academy 56%
WHY — TOP FEATURE DRIVERS (SHAP)
CT-side econ -0.131
Map-pool Elo -0.098
n30 diff +0.084
SHADOW BET 5.3u @ 1.802 → -5.3u half-Kelly sizing · paper only

OUTCOME PROBABILITY

44%
ex-Zero Tenacity
MODEL ODDS
0.44
BET ODDS
1.802

Veto simulation & map probabilities

BO3 BAN/PICK SIM
overpass 32% ex-Zero Tenacity
anubis 38% ex-Zero Tenacity
nuke 58% ex-Zero Tenacity
mirage 43% ex-Zero Tenacity
inferno 56% ex-Zero Tenacity
dust2 48% ex-Zero Tenacity
Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.
PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS
inferno 8 – 13 BIG Academy took the map.
dust2 13 – 7 ex-Zero Tenacity took the map.
overpass 13 – 8 ex-Zero Tenacity took the map.

No Demo Data

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