MATCHES / #2395174
HLTV
T2 · BO3 CS2 · 2026-06-10 FINAL
IL
illwill
CHALLENGER
1 : 2
SERIES COMPLETE
G2 Ares
G2 Ares
WINNER

Prediction breakdown

✗ WRONG CALL
illwill 53% G2 Ares 47%
WHY — TOP FEATURE DRIVERS (SHAP)
Ensemble mean +0.214
PHANTOM +0.105
PHANTOM confidence -0.054
NO BET Below Kelly threshold or no liquid market
ALL MODEL PREDICTIONS
ORACLE v1 G2 Ares 56%
NEXUS v2 illwill 56%
PHANTOM v1 illwill 54%
TITAN v2 illwill 53%

OUTCOME PROBABILITY

53%
illwill
MODEL ODDS
0.53
WIN PROB
53%

Veto simulation & map probabilities

BO3 BAN/PICK SIM
ancient 26% illwill
overpass 59% illwill
anubis 45% illwill
mirage 54% illwill
inferno 53% illwill
dust2 52% illwill
nuke 72% WR (36/50)
Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.
PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS
dust2 16 – 19 G2 Ares took the map.
mirage 4 – 13 G2 Ares took the map.
overpass 13 – 4 illwill took the map.

No Demo Data

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