MATCHES / #2395242
HLTV
T3 · BO3 CS2 · 2026-06-07 FINAL
Wanted Goons
Wanted Goons
CHALLENGER
1 : 2
SERIES COMPLETE
BR
Brahmas
WINNER

Prediction breakdown

✓ CORRECT CALL
Wanted Goons 45% Brahmas 55%
WHY — TOP FEATURE DRIVERS (SHAP)
Map-pool Elo -0.353
Rest days +0.205
Schedule strength -0.096
SHADOW BET 4.0u @ 1.843 → +3.4u half-Kelly sizing · paper only

OUTCOME PROBABILITY

45%
Wanted Goons
MODEL ODDS
0.45
BET ODDS
1.843

Veto simulation & map probabilities

MAP POOL
overpass 100% Wanted Goons
mirage 36% Wanted Goons
anubis 100% Wanted Goons
inferno 35% Wanted Goons
nuke 36% Wanted Goons
ancient 39% WR (9/23)
dust2 43% WR (9/21)
vertigo 100% WR (1/1)
Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.
PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS
mirage 9 – 13 Brahmas took the map.
nuke 13 – 16 Brahmas took the map.
overpass 16 – 13 Wanted Goons took the map.

No Demo Data

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