MATCHES / #2395272
HLTV
T3 · BO3 CS2 · 2026-06-13 FINAL
ST
struggletony
CHALLENGER
0 : 2
SERIES COMPLETE
MASONIC
MASONIC
WINNER

Prediction breakdown

✓ CORRECT CALL
struggletony 39% MASONIC 61%
WHY — TOP FEATURE DRIVERS (SHAP)
Ensemble mean -0.293
Elo win prob +0.039
PHANTOM +0.024
SHADOW BET 7.9u @ 1.689 → +5.4u half-Kelly sizing · paper only
ALL MODEL PREDICTIONS
ORACLE v2 MASONIC 64%
PHANTOM v2 MASONIC 61%
TITAN v2 MASONIC 61%
NEXUS v2 MASONIC 58%

OUTCOME PROBABILITY

39%
struggletony
MODEL ODDS
0.39
BET ODDS
1.689

Veto simulation & map probabilities

MAP POOL
ancient 75% struggletony
dust2 0% struggletony
nuke 43% struggletony
Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.
PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS
dust2 11 – 13 MASONIC took the map.
nuke 14 – 16 MASONIC took the map.

No Demo Data

Player stats and round-by-round analysis require a validated V4 demo. This match is queued for parsing.