T3 · BO3
CS2 · 2026-06-13
FINAL
STATE
CHALLENGER
1
:
2
SERIES COMPLETE
MASONIC
WINNER
/// CQ-GESUS-TITAN v2 · PRIMARY
Prediction breakdown
STATE 44%
MASONIC 56%
WHY — TOP FEATURE DRIVERS (SHAP)
Ensemble mean
-0.201
Elo win prob
+0.104
PHANTOM
+0.016
SHADOW BET
4.5u @ 1.807 → -4.5u
half-Kelly sizing · paper only
ALL MODEL PREDICTIONS
ORACLE v2
STATE
54%
✓
PHANTOM v2
MASONIC
61%
✗
TITAN v2
MASONIC
56%
✗
NEXUS v2
STATE
54%
✓
OUTCOME PROBABILITY
44%
STATE
MODEL ODDS
0.44
BET ODDS
1.807
/// MIRAGE v6 PER-MAP ENGINE
Veto simulation & map probabilities
nuke
61% STATE
mirage
68% STATE
anubis
40% STATE
inferno
55% STATE
overpass
53% STATE
ancient
51% STATE
Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.
PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS
ancient
10 – 13
MASONIC took the map.
nuke
13 – 11
STATE took the map.
overpass
11 – 13
MASONIC took the map.
No Demo Data
Player stats and round-by-round analysis require a validated V4 demo. This match is queued for parsing.