T3 · BO3
CS2 · 2026-06-13
FINAL
MASQ
CHALLENGER
1
:
2
SERIES COMPLETE
STATE
WINNER
/// CQ-GESUS-TITAN v2 · PRIMARY
Prediction breakdown
MASQ 59%
STATE 41%
WHY — TOP FEATURE DRIVERS (SHAP)
Ensemble mean
+0.212
PHANTOM
+0.134
PHANTOM confidence
-0.054
SHADOW BET
6.7u @ 1.735 → -6.7u
half-Kelly sizing · paper only
ALL MODEL PREDICTIONS
ORACLE v2
STATE
50%
✓
PHANTOM v2
MASQ
64%
✗
TITAN v2
MASQ
59%
✗
NEXUS v2
STATE
67%
✓
OUTCOME PROBABILITY
59%
MASQ
MODEL ODDS
0.59
BET ODDS
1.735
/// MIRAGE v6 PER-MAP ENGINE
Veto simulation & map probabilities
ancient
74% MASQ
overpass
0% MASQ
mirage
0% MASQ
inferno
51% MASQ
nuke
50% MASQ
Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.
PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS
inferno
8 – 13
STATE took the map.
mirage
4 – 13
STATE took the map.
nuke
13 – 10
MASQ took the map.
No Demo Data
Player stats and round-by-round analysis require a validated V4 demo. This match is queued for parsing.