MATCHES / #2395285
HLTV
T3 · BO3 CS2 · 2026-06-13 FINAL
DETONATE
DETONATE
WINNER
2 : 0
SERIES COMPLETE
Wanted Goons
Wanted Goons
CHALLENGER

Prediction breakdown

✗ WRONG CALL
DETONATE 44% Wanted Goons 56%
WHY — TOP FEATURE DRIVERS (SHAP)
Ensemble mean -0.299
PHANTOM +0.155
Elo win prob +0.038
SHADOW BET 4.7u @ 1.801 → -4.7u half-Kelly sizing · paper only
ALL MODEL PREDICTIONS
ORACLE v2 Wanted Goons 62%
PHANTOM v2 Wanted Goons 55%
TITAN v2 Wanted Goons 56%
NEXUS v2 Wanted Goons 63%

OUTCOME PROBABILITY

44%
DETONATE
MODEL ODDS
0.44
BET ODDS
1.801

Veto simulation & map probabilities

MAP POOL
mirage 72% DETONATE
ancient 72% DETONATE
dust2 0% DETONATE
inferno 0% DETONATE
overpass 42% DETONATE
anubis 57% DETONATE
nuke 54% DETONATE
Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.
PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS
ancient 16 – 14 DETONATE took the map.
anubis 13 – 9 DETONATE took the map.

No Demo Data

Player stats and round-by-round analysis require a validated V4 demo. This match is queued for parsing.