MATCHES / #2395300
HLTV
T3 · BO3 CS2 · 2026-06-13 FINAL
Alliance
Alliance
CHALLENGER
1 : 2
SERIES COMPLETE
Nexus
Nexus
WINNER

Prediction breakdown

✗ WRONG CALL
Alliance 66% Nexus 34%
WHY — TOP FEATURE DRIVERS (SHAP)
Ensemble mean +0.408
PHANTOM +0.126
PHANTOM confidence -0.058
SHADOW BET 12.9u @ 1.577 → -12.9u half-Kelly sizing · paper only
ALL MODEL PREDICTIONS
ORACLE v2 Alliance 76%
PHANTOM v2 Alliance 64%
TITAN v2 Alliance 66%

OUTCOME PROBABILITY

66%
Alliance
MODEL ODDS
0.66
BET ODDS
1.577

Veto simulation & map probabilities

BO3 BAN/PICK SIM
ancient 100% Alliance
nuke 100% Alliance
inferno 73% Alliance
mirage 36% Alliance
overpass 41% Alliance
dust2 59% Alliance
anubis 53% Alliance
vertigo 37% WR (14/38)
Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.
PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS
anubis 9 – 13 Nexus took the map.
inferno 13 – 9 Alliance took the map.
overpass 11 – 13 Nexus took the map.

No Demo Data

Player stats and round-by-round analysis require a validated V4 demo. This match is queued for parsing.