INTEL / PREDICTIONS / VERIFY

Public Prediction Ledger

HOW TO VERIFY ANY PREDICTION

Linux/Mac: echo -n "MODEL|VERSION|MATCH_ID|T1_ID|T2_ID|P1.6f|P2.6f|WINNER_ID" | sha256sum

Python: import hashlib; hashlib.sha256(b"...").hexdigest()

Windows: [System.Text.Encoding]::UTF8.GetBytes("...") | Get-FileHash -Algorithm SHA256 -InputStream ...

Probabilities are formatted to 6 decimal places. Pipe | separator. No spaces, no newline.

957 total predictions — page 10 of 39 (25 matches per page)

Jun 18 2026 08:00 match #2395200 4 models ✓ CORRECT

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
·	NEXUS v2 Market price +0.030 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.268 team1 avoid rate nuke 90d -0.243	TDK	78.1%	+56.2%	Jun 18 02:30:06	117d3508cf087c5c…428782dd
★	TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420 Ensemble mean +0.863 PHANTOM +0.411 PHANTOM confidence +0.185	TDK	86.3%	+72.7%	Jun 17 21:00:06	e1a6f9cac4deb0b9…484cf3e2
·	PHANTOM v2 AUC 0.7625 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.347 team1 avoid rate nuke 90d -0.310 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.214	TDK	86.3%	+72.6%	Jun 17 21:00:06	6966c7bc6949b916…782f8064
·	ORACLE v2 AUC 0.7531 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.268 team1 avoid rate nuke 90d -0.243 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.201	TDK	76.5%	+53.0%	Jun 17 21:00:06	1e471c2f42932a3e…f13a722e

Jun 17 2026 16:50 match #2395138 4 models ✓ CORRECT

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
·	NEXUS v2 Market price -0.377 team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.533 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.282	Nuclear TigeRES	57.4%	+14.7%	Jun 17 17:00:06	363ff94f24b17ad1…4e43574d
★	TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420 Ensemble mean +0.462 PHANTOM +0.223 PHANTOM confidence +0.064	Nuclear TigeRES	73.6%	+47.3%	Jun 17 15:00:10	9cbab907f43d4ecc…043d07ea
·	PHANTOM v2 AUC 0.7625 Glicko2 rating +0.447 team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.408 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.406	Nuclear TigeRES	81.8%	+63.6%	Jun 17 15:00:10	7e9f8298597ca7da…1a61bb82
·	ORACLE v2 AUC 0.7531 team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.529 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.281 team1 elo nuke -0.256	Nuclear TigeRES	66.2%	+32.4%	Jun 17 15:00:10	7e8663ff12b5b679…b0c5f91f

Jun 18 2026 08:30 match #2395241 4 models ✗ WRONG

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
·	NEXUS v2 Market price +0.289 team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.512 team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.410	Ground Zero	53.0%	+6.1%	Jun 17 16:15:08	c28a058e4414f5ec…55c4f22f
★	TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420 PHANTOM +0.227 Ensemble mean +0.151 Elo win prob +0.044	Ground Zero	64.2%	+28.4%	Jun 17 12:00:09	ee12fd1e2d06a01c…88592082
·	PHANTOM v2 AUC 0.7625 Glicko2 rating +0.440 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.415 team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.310	Ground Zero	81.8%	+63.6%	Jun 17 12:00:09	f1556775ad6cec48…ca9cb012
·	ORACLE v2 AUC 0.7531 team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.512 team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.409 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.263	Rooster	64.4%	+28.7%	Jun 17 12:00:09	36e49aea181ea5e3…5c0cc1c3

Jun 19 2026 10:30 match #2394835 3 models ✗ WRONG

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
★	TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420 Ensemble mean +0.461 PHANTOM +0.211 PHANTOM confidence +0.064	Acend	72.8%	+45.6%	Jun 17 15:00:14	1e2488c1aa85408c…f5d9a3eb
·	PHANTOM v2 AUC 0.7625 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.451 Glicko2 rating +0.427 team1 avoid rate nuke 90d -0.215	Acend	79.5%	+59.1%	Jun 17 15:00:14	834eebba8ef27168…820bdabd
·	ORACLE v2 AUC 0.7531 team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.300 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.292 Overpass Elo +0.216	Acend	65.7%	+31.5%	Jun 17 15:00:14	6f3c9cf9c663440e…175de6af

Jun 19 2026 08:00 match #2394834 3 models ✗ WRONG

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
★	TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420 Ensemble mean +0.634 PHANTOM +0.125 PHANTOM confidence -0.058	Sashi	72.2%	+44.4%	Jun 17 15:00:13	9d1433abdebe9915…37a5bd80
·	PHANTOM v2 AUC 0.7625 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.371 team1 elo dust2 -0.251 team2 avoid rate inferno 90d -0.208	Sashi	64.0%	+28.0%	Jun 17 15:00:13	cc8af37e668474dd…ad2c316e
·	ORACLE v2 AUC 0.7531 team1 avoid rate mirage 90d +0.271 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.261 Overpass Elo +0.204	Sashi	82.8%	+65.7%	Jun 17 15:00:13	546462242686442e…2aa2dd4f

Jun 19 2026 17:30 match #2395329 3 models ✓ CORRECT

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
★	TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420 Ensemble mean +0.859 PHANTOM +0.411 PHANTOM confidence +0.185	Acend	86.2%	+72.4%	Jun 17 07:30:17	b7ccd90fbaa30f5b…2e0dfbf0
·	PHANTOM v2 AUC 0.7625 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.433 Glicko2 rating +0.422 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.274	Acend	93.3%	+86.7%	Jun 17 07:30:17	c5ccdf3b33b749dd…f59854e0
·	ORACLE v2 AUC 0.7531 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.302 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.226 Overpass Elo +0.207	Acend	82.8%	+65.7%	Jun 17 07:30:17	77d7640dafd99708…50e9a70b

Jun 19 2026 15:00 match #2395328 3 models ✗ WRONG

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
★	TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420 Ensemble mean +0.816 PHANTOM +0.231 PHANTOM confidence +0.064	WW	81.4%	+62.8%	Jun 17 07:30:16	a9bf653497f87db6…f39853a6
·	PHANTOM v2 AUC 0.7625 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.388 team2 elo overpass -0.249 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.244	WW	81.8%	+63.6%	Jun 17 07:30:16	b3b6b9acdbce6164…f10d64c5
·	ORACLE v2 AUC 0.7531 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.279 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.213 team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.185	WW	82.8%	+65.7%	Jun 17 07:30:16	8dccc00cd065cb7d…c9a3f65e

Jun 19 2026 12:00 match #2395327 3 models ✓ CORRECT

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
★	TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420 Ensemble mean +0.376 PHANTOM +0.130 PHANTOM confidence -0.058	K27	64.5%	+29.1%	Jun 17 07:30:14	81f09d9903c7daf9…d39bf68a
·	PHANTOM v2 AUC 0.7625 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.453 Glicko2 rating +0.412 Inferno pick rate +0.189	K27	64.0%	+28.0%	Jun 17 07:30:14	b54617f6d04ee9c4…6a383847
·	ORACLE v2 AUC 0.7531 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.307 team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.281 team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.182	K27	66.2%	+32.4%	Jun 17 07:30:14	8508dce54196fe2d…bf9af7df

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