ORACLE — CQ-GESUS Models

PREDICTIONS SHADOW BETS MODELS VERIFY

ORACLE v2 DEPLOYED

Match Outcome · Gradient Boosting

Market-independent deep stats match predictor.

AUC (T1)

0.7531

held-out test set

313

Predictions

21 pending

52.4%

Accuracy

292 settled

-12.5%

Shadow ROI

-97.7u

47.6%

Bet Hit Rate

103 bets

ABOUT THIS MODEL

ORACLE is CounterQuant's primary market-independent match outcome predictor. Trained on 27,000+ historical CS2 matches with 538 engineered features spanning team Elo trajectory (overall, form, SoS, per-map), head-to-head record, map pool overlap, recent form windows (7/14/30d), and roster stability. Isotonic calibration ensures probabilities are accurate across the full 0–1 range, not just directionally correct. ORACLE is the default model when no Polymarket market exists for a match.

PERFORMANCE CHARTS

Accuracy Over Time

Solid=cumulative · dashed=rolling-20 · gray=50% baseline

Reliability Diagram

Bars=actual win rate per confidence bucket · dashed=perfect calibration

Cumulative Shadow P&L

Cumulative units across all shadow bets for this model

TOP FEATURE DRIVERS

Map-specific Elo differential 28%

Per-map team Elo (elo_before from match history) — no leakage

Overall Elo differential 22%

Baseline team quality gap at match time

SoS-adjusted Elo 15%

Strength-of-schedule normalized rating

Form Elo (recent 30d) 12%

Recency-weighted performance trend

H2H win rate (last 10) 9%

Direct head-to-head record on this map

Map pool overlap score 7%

Fraction of preferred maps in common

Roster stability delta 4%

Recent lineup change penalty

Win rate difference (20-match) 3%

Rolling win rate gap including tier weighting

Feature importances reflect normalized split gain. Values are approximate.

HOW TO INTERPRET

ORACLE probability is purely internal — it has never seen a betting market price. When ORACLE differs significantly from NEXUS (the market-blended model), that gap represents potential mispricing. An ORACLE probability above 60% with a market implied below 50% signals genuine alpha. Note the AUC is measured on a held-out test set with strict chronological splitting — no future data leaks into training.

PER-TIER BREAKDOWN

Tier	Preds	Correct	Acc
T1	60	35	58.3%
T2	92	45	48.9%
T3	140	73	52.1%

MONTHLY PERFORMANCE

Month	Preds	Correct	Acc
Jun 2026	292	153	52.4%

FULL PREDICTION HISTORY (292 settled)

Date	Matchup	Tier	Predicted	Win Prob	Edge	Result
Jun 22	Chicken Coop vs Club 333 team1 avoid rate mirage 90d +0.283 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.262 Overpass Elo +0.176	T3	Chicken Coop	76.5%	+53.0%	✓
Jun 21	QUAZAR vs Fire Flux team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.260 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.204 team2 wr when forced mirage -0.187	T3	QUAZAR	66.2%	+32.4%	✓
Jun 21	ex-RUBY vs TDK team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.305 team2 avoid rate nuke 90d +0.272 team2 avg rating 90d +0.147	T2	ex-RUBY	54.4%	+8.9%	✗
Jun 21	FURIA vs Falcons Glicko2 rating -1.052 Tier-1 Elo +1.030 team2 glicko2 rating +0.724	T1	Falcons	50.2%	+0.3%	✓
Jun 21	ENERGYULTRA vs roamsfiest Overpass Elo +0.186 team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.181 team2 avg rating 90d +0.147	T3	ENERGYULTRA	65.7%	+31.5%	✗
Jun 21	FOKUS vs Phantom team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.280 team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.178 Schedule strength +0.159	T2	FOKUS	76.5%	+53.0%	✗
Jun 21	TDK vs 100 Thieves team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.271 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.266 team1 avoid rate nuke 90d -0.235	T2	TDK	82.8%	+65.7%	✓
Jun 21	Team Germany vs Team Poland team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.200 team2 result volatility 90d +0.177 Overpass Elo +0.175	T3	Team Germany	76.5%	+53.0%	✓
Jun 21	ReThink vs roamsfiest team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.199 Overpass Elo +0.181 team2 result volatility 90d +0.178	T3	ReThink	57.0%	+13.9%	✓
Jun 21	Virtus.pro vs ex-RUBY Overpass Elo -0.258 team1 avoid rate inferno 90d +0.197 Tier-1 Elo -0.195	T2	Virtus.pro	54.4%	+8.9%	✗
Jun 21	Echo vs K27 team1 avoid rate mirage 90d +0.267 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.244 team1 wr mirage 30d +0.223	T2	Echo	76.5%	+53.0%	✗
Jun 21	Lilmix vs ENERGYULTRA team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.194 team1 wr mirage 30d +0.191 team2 result volatility 90d +0.179	T3	Lilmix	65.7%	+31.5%	✗
Jun 21	INFINITE vs INOX Division team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.495 team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.316 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.296	T2	INFINITE	63.7%	+27.5%	✓
Jun 21	Chicken Coop vs Overtake Sector team1 avoid rate mirage 90d +0.282 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.265 team2 avoid rate nuke 90d +0.184	T3	Chicken Coop	76.5%	+53.0%	✓
Jun 21	Villainous vs Club 333 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.268 Overpass Elo +0.186 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.172	T3	Villainous	57.0%	+13.9%	✗
Jun 20	Spirit vs Falcons Tier-1 Elo +1.017 Glicko2 rating +0.915 team2 glicko2 rating +0.680	T1	Spirit	84.6%	+69.2%	✓
Jun 20	QUAZAR vs ReThink team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.297 team2 avoid rate nuke 90d +0.186 team1 adjusted wr 30d -0.180	T3	QUAZAR	66.2%	+32.4%	✓
Jun 20	GenOne vs 100 Thieves team1 avoid rate mirage 90d +0.302 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.291 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.268	T2	GenOne	84.6%	+69.2%	✗
Jun 20	Fire Flux vs WBT team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.539 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.268 team1 wr mirage 30d +0.204	T3	Fire Flux	65.7%	+31.5%	✓
Jun 20	Phantom vs Walczaki team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.284 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.252 Overpass Elo +0.165	T2	Phantom	66.2%	+32.4%	✓
Jun 20	Gentle Mates vs ex-RUBY team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.201 team2 wr when forced mirage -0.186 team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.177	T2	Gentle Mates	52.6%	+5.2%	✗
Jun 20	K27 vs Acend team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.203 team2 elo overpass -0.182 team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.174	T2	K27	66.2%	+32.4%	✓
Jun 20	Aurora vs FURIA Tier-1 Elo +0.985 team2 glicko2 rating +0.944 team2 elo lan -0.531	T1	Aurora	96.3%	+92.6%	✗
Jun 20	Echo vs Inner Circle team1 avoid rate mirage 90d +0.272 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.263 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.231	T2	Echo	65.7%	+31.5%	✓
Jun 20	1win vs Virtus.pro team2 elo lan -0.544 team2 elo overpass +0.312 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.310	T2	1win	63.7%	+27.5%	✗
Jun 20	KOLESIE vs INOX Division team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.304 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.283 Tier-1 Elo -0.170	T2	KOLESIE	76.5%	+53.0%	✓
Jun 20	FOKUS vs CYBERSHOKE team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.277 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.200 team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.184	T2	FOKUS	76.5%	+53.0%	✓
Jun 20	Nemesis vs TDK team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.303 team2 avoid rate nuke 90d +0.282 Overpass Elo +0.187	T2	Nemesis	54.4%	+8.9%	✓
Jun 20	INFINITE vs Walczaki team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.510 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.274 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.230	T2	INFINITE	65.7%	+31.5%	✗
Jun 20	Club 333 vs Playing for fun team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.332 team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.192 team2 result volatility 90d +0.172	T3	Club 333	57.0%	+13.9%	✓
Jun 20	Chicken Coop vs dice team1 avoid rate mirage 90d +0.282 team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.186 Overpass Elo +0.177	T3	Chicken Coop	65.7%	+31.5%	✓
Jun 20	Brahmas vs Overtake Sector team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.262 Overpass Elo +0.198 team2 avoid rate nuke 90d +0.176	T3	Brahmas	82.8%	+65.7%	✗
Jun 20	Villainous vs DETONATE team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.548 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.230 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.210	T3	DETONATE	64.4%	+28.7%	✗
Jun 19	Falcons vs Vitality Tier-1 Elo +1.016 Glicko2 rating -0.785 team2 glicko2 rating -0.543	T1	Falcons	65.7%	+31.5%	✓
Jun 19	K27 vs Virtus.pro team2 elo lan -0.551 team2 elo overpass +0.326 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.301	T2	K27	76.5%	+53.0%	✗
Jun 19	ReThink vs BAKS team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.280 Overpass Elo +0.173 team1 wr when forced anubis +0.168	T3	ReThink	76.5%	+53.0%	✓
Jun 19	Fire Flux vs NAVI Junior team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.522 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.284 team2 pre patch wr +0.244	T3	Fire Flux	52.6%	+5.2%	✓
Jun 19	Acend vs BET-M team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.302 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.226 Overpass Elo +0.207	T2	Acend	82.8%	+65.7%	✓
Jun 19	Arch vs WBT team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.283 team2 elo overpass -0.186 team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.186	T3	Arch	76.5%	+53.0%	✗
Jun 19	G2 vs Spirit Tier-1 Elo +0.971 team2 glicko2 rating -0.775 Glicko2 rating +0.544	T1	G2	52.6%	+5.2%	✗
Jun 19	1win vs INOX Division team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.308 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.297 team1 avoid rate nuke 90d -0.168	T2	1win	65.7%	+31.5%	✓
Jun 19	QUAZAR vs Hermine team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.175 team1 adjusted wr 30d -0.175 team2 result volatility 90d +0.175	T3	QUAZAR	65.7%	+31.5%	✓
Jun 19	WW vs CYBERSHOKE team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.279 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.213 team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.185	T2	WW	82.8%	+65.7%	✗
Jun 19	Acend vs INOX Division team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.300 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.292 Overpass Elo +0.216	T2	Acend	65.7%	+31.5%	✗
Jun 19	K27 vs SHISHKA team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.307 team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.281 team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.182	T2	K27	66.2%	+32.4%	✓
Jun 19	INFINITE vs ex-RUBY team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.497 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.221 team2 wr when forced mirage -0.180	T2	ex-RUBY	50.2%	+0.3%	✓
Jun 19	Walczaki vs Oxuji team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.505 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.311 Overpass Elo +0.201	T2	Walczaki	76.5%	+53.0%	✓
Jun 19	Sashi vs KOLESIE team1 avoid rate mirage 90d +0.271 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.261 Overpass Elo +0.204	T2	Sashi	82.8%	+65.7%	✗
Jun 18	Inner Circle vs Spirit Academy team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.512 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.296 team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.191	T2	Inner Circle	66.2%	+32.4%	✓
Jun 18	9z vs FURIA Tier-1 Elo +1.041 team2 glicko2 rating +0.866 team2 elo lan -0.526	T1	9z	96.3%	+92.6%	✗
Jun 18	100 Thieves vs Leo team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.486 team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.265 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.243	T2	100 Thieves	54.4%	+8.9%	✓
Jun 18	Nemesis vs Bebop team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.284 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.218 Overpass Elo +0.186	T2	Nemesis	76.5%	+53.0%	✓
Jun 18	Echo vs KOLESIE team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.299 team1 avoid rate mirage 90d +0.273 team1 pre patch wr -0.268	T2	KOLESIE	50.2%	+0.3%	✗
Jun 18	INFINITE vs Oxuji team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.507 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.302 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.194	T2	INFINITE	76.5%	+53.0%	✓
Jun 18	Aurora vs BetBoom Tier-1 Elo +0.989 team2 elo lan -0.530 Glicko2 rating +0.372	T1	Aurora	89.3%	+78.6%	✓
Jun 18	HOTU vs GenOne team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.294 Overpass Elo +0.232 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.212	T2	HOTU	66.2%	+32.4%	✗
Jun 18	JiJieHao vs Phantom team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.437 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.259 team1 avoid rate nuke 90d -0.237	T2	JiJieHao	54.4%	+8.9%	✗
Jun 18	TDK vs Walczaki team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.260 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.247 team1 avoid rate nuke 90d -0.236	T2	TDK	76.5%	+53.0%	✗
Jun 18	Gentle Mates vs KOLESIE team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.268 team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.182 Schedule strength +0.161	T2	Gentle Mates	65.7%	+31.5%	✓
Jun 18	Ground Zero vs Rooster team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.512 team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.409 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.263	T3	Rooster	64.4%	+28.7%	✓
Jun 18	FOKUS vs Noir Verse team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.310 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.204 team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.182	T2	FOKUS	82.8%	+65.7%	✓
Jun 18	TDK vs Ursa team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.268 team1 avoid rate nuke 90d -0.243 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.201	T2	TDK	76.5%	+53.0%	✓
Jun 17	KOLESIE vs illwill team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.200 Tier-1 Elo -0.174 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.164	T2	KOLESIE	66.2%	+32.4%	✗
Jun 17	Nuclear TigeRES vs Nemesis team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.529 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.281 team1 elo nuke -0.256	T3	Nuclear TigeRES	66.2%	+32.4%	✓
Jun 17	SPARTA vs INOX Division team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.305 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.296 Overpass Elo +0.205	T2	SPARTA	66.2%	+32.4%	✗
Jun 17	SPARTA vs Bebop team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.284 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.216 Overpass Elo +0.195	T2	SPARTA	76.5%	+53.0%	✗
Jun 17	PsychoFace vs Virtus.pro team2 elo lan -0.545 team2 elo overpass +0.312 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.305	T2	PsychoFace	76.5%	+53.0%	✗
Jun 17	TDK vs Nemesis team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.257 team1 avoid rate nuke 90d -0.238 team2 elo overpass -0.160	T3	TDK	82.8%	+65.7%	✓
Jun 17	Acend vs Lavked team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.291 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.215 team1 elo nuke -0.201	T2	Acend	65.7%	+31.5%	✓
Jun 17	Rooster vs DXA team1 avoid rate mirage 90d +0.416 team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.297 Overpass Elo +0.236	T3	Rooster	82.8%	+65.7%	✓
Jun 17	Nuclear TigeRES vs K27 team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.520 team1 avoid rate mirage 90d +0.264 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.261	T3	Nuclear TigeRES	52.6%	+5.3%	✓
Jun 16	KOLESIE vs GenOne team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.297 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.230 Tier-1 Elo -0.169	T2	KOLESIE	65.7%	+31.5%	✗
Jun 16	Nemesis vs INFINITE team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.252 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.246 Overpass Elo +0.189	T3	Nemesis	76.5%	+53.0%	✓
Jun 16	PsychoFace vs Leo team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.259 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.229 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.208	T2	PsychoFace	66.2%	+32.4%	✗
Jun 16	K27 vs 100 Thieves team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.287 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.275 team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.218	T3	K27	82.8%	+65.7%	✓
Jun 16	illwill vs ex-RUBY team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.245 team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.178 team2 elo inferno -0.160	T2	illwill	65.7%	+31.5%	✗
Jun 16	EAC vs KOLESIE team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.253 team1 wr mirage 30d +0.220 team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.184	T2	EAC	52.6%	+5.2%	✗
Jun 16	Gentle Mates vs Nuclear TigeRES team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.287 team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.284 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.240	T3	Gentle Mates	76.5%	+53.0%	✗
Jun 16	MARKandLARRY vs DXA team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.297 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.234 Overpass Elo +0.189	T3	MARKandLARRY	65.7%	+31.5%	✗
Jun 16	Sashi vs HYPERSPIRIT team2 elo nuke -0.335 team1 pre patch wr -0.282 team1 avoid rate mirage 90d +0.277	T2	HYPERSPIRIT	50.2%	+0.3%	✗
Jun 16	HOTU vs TDK team2 avoid rate nuke 90d +0.265 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.248 Overpass Elo +0.238	T3	HOTU	76.5%	+53.0%	✗
Jun 16	Ground Zero vs Rooster team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.510 team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.413 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.265	T3	Rooster	64.4%	+28.7%	✗
Jun 15	Natus Vincere vs G2 Tier-1 Elo +1.062 Glicko2 rating -1.056 team2 elo lan -0.504	T1	G2	50.2%	+0.3%	✓
Jun 15	ReThink vs Wingman team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.302 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.234 team1 wr mirage 30d +0.209	T3	ReThink	76.5%	+53.0%	✓
Jun 15	SPARTA vs G2 Ares team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.297 team2 avoid rate nuke 90d +0.212 Overpass Elo +0.198	T2	SPARTA	76.5%	+53.0%	✓
Jun 15	INFINITE vs ex-RUBY team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.310 team1 pre patch wr -0.280 team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.198	T3	INFINITE	54.4%	+8.9%	✓
Jun 15	BetBoom vs FUT team2 elo lan -0.522 team2 glicko2 rating +0.442 Tier-1 Elo -0.410	T1	BetBoom	76.5%	+53.0%	✓
Jun 15	Nemesis vs CYBERSHOKE Overpass Elo +0.285 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.279 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.227	T3	Nemesis	66.2%	+32.4%	✓
Jun 15	Virtus.pro vs brazylijski luz Overpass Elo -0.254 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.244 Tier-1 Elo -0.192	T2	Virtus.pro	65.7%	+31.5%	✓
Jun 15	100 Thieves vs Betclic team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.565 team2 elo inferno +0.340 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.230	T3	100 Thieves	76.5%	+53.0%	✓
Jun 15	9z vs The MongolZ Tier-1 Elo +1.013 team2 glicko2 rating +0.750 team2 elo lan -0.542	T1	9z	84.6%	+69.2%	✓
Jun 15	Bebop vs RUSTEC team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.478 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.220 team2 elo inferno -0.166	T2	Bebop	54.4%	+8.9%	✗
Jun 15	Walczaki vs G2 Ares team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.499 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.290 team2 avoid rate nuke 90d +0.259	T2	Walczaki	65.7%	+31.5%	✓
Jun 15	Gentle Mates vs Acend team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.255 team2 avoid rate nuke 90d +0.209 Schedule strength +0.181	T3	Gentle Mates	66.2%	+32.4%	✗
Jun 15	Rooster vs DXA team1 avoid rate mirage 90d +0.280 team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.266 Overpass Elo -0.252	T3	Rooster	66.2%	+32.4%	✓
Jun 15	Ground Zero vs MARKandLARRY team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.418 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.245 team2 pre patch wr +0.231	T3	Ground Zero	65.7%	+31.5%	✓
Jun 15	TDK vs Young Ninjas team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.311 team1 avoid rate mirage 90d +0.231 team2 glicko2 rating -0.221	T2	TDK	76.5%	+53.0%	✓
Jun 15	Club 333 vs Olympus team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.482 team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.195 team2 result volatility 90d +0.176	T3	Club 333	52.6%	+5.2%	✓
Jun 15	Brahmas vs Omen Overpass Elo +0.199 team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.196 team2 result volatility 90d +0.167	T3	Brahmas	76.5%	+53.0%	✓
Jun 15	Marsborne vs Iowa Stormboar team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.265 team1 avoid rate nuke 90d -0.219 team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.195	T3	Iowa Stormboar	50.2%	+0.3%	✗
Jun 14	Natus Vincere vs Falcons team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.503 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.265 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.200	T1	Natus Vincere	63.7%	+27.5%	✗
Jun 14	Festina Lente vs Iowa Stormboar team1 avoid rate mirage 90d +0.254 Overpass Elo +0.207 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.192	T3	Festina Lente	52.6%	+5.2%	✗
Jun 14	Metizport vs Alliance team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.329 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.182 team2 elo overpass -0.176	T3	Metizport	65.7%	+31.5%	✗
Jun 14	Arch vs OLDBOYS PL team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.288 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.261 team2 pick rate ancient 90d +0.210	T3	Arch	65.7%	+31.5%	✓
Jun 14	Ursa vs GenOne team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.350 team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.279 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.252	T2	GenOne	50.2%	+0.3%	✓
Jun 14	illwill vs Nuclear TigeRES team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.263 team2 avoid rate nuke 90d +0.242 team1 pre patch wr -0.234	T3	illwill	76.5%	+53.0%	✗
Jun 14	G2 vs Legacy team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.269 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.240 Schedule strength +0.172	T1	G2	65.7%	+31.5%	✓
Jun 14	BetBoom vs Vitality team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.493 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.272 team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.257	T1	BetBoom	54.4%	+8.9%	✗
Jun 14	fnatic vs Alliance team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.333 team1 avoid rate nuke 90d -0.233 team2 elo overpass -0.185	T3	Alliance	50.2%	+0.3%	✓
Jun 14	ex-RUBY vs INOX Division team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.320 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.264 Tier-1 Elo -0.191	T2	ex-RUBY	65.7%	+31.5%	✗
Jun 14	INFINITE vs Virtus.pro team1 pre patch wr -0.302 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.295 team2 avoid rate nuke 90d +0.278	T2	INFINITE	63.7%	+27.5%	✓
Jun 14	Aurora vs 9z team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.292 team1 avoid rate mirage 90d +0.253 Overpass Elo +0.179	T1	Aurora	76.5%	+53.0%	✓
Jun 14	INFURITY vs VanirQuick team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.561 team1 avoid rate mirage 90d +0.335 Overpass Elo +0.207	T3	VanirQuick	50.2%	+0.3%	✗
Jun 14	1win vs TDK team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.284 Overpass Elo +0.243 team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.238	T3	1win	52.6%	+5.2%	✗
Jun 14	MOUZ vs FUT team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.272 Overpass Elo -0.184 Glicko2 rating +0.178	T1	MOUZ	54.4%	+8.9%	✗
Jun 14	The MongolZ vs Monte team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.275 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.223 team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.184	T1	The MongolZ	57.0%	+13.9%	✓
Jun 14	Nuclear TigeRES vs Oxuji team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.484 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.275 team2 glicko2 rating -0.226	T2	Oxuji	50.2%	+0.3%	✓
Jun 14	Nexus vs Alliance team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.326 team1 wr mirage 30d +0.234 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.224	T3	Nexus	65.7%	+31.5%	✗
Jun 14	SPARTA vs Leo Tier-1 Elo -0.455 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.314 team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.267	T2	SPARTA	52.6%	+5.3%	✓
Jun 14	fnatic vs Metizport team2 elo anubis -0.221 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.198 team1 avoid rate nuke 90d -0.193	T3	Metizport	64.4%	+28.7%	✓
Jun 14	HOTU vs KOLESIE team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.250 team1 avoid rate mirage 90d +0.239 Overpass Elo +0.235	T3	HOTU	76.5%	+53.0%	✓
Jun 14	illwill vs Virtus.pro team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.294 team2 avoid rate nuke 90d +0.279 team1 pre patch wr -0.235	T2	illwill	54.4%	+8.9%	✓
Jun 14	BASEMENT BOYS vs Alliance team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.471 team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.281 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.268	T3	BASEMENT BOYS	76.5%	+53.0%	✗
Jun 14	Nexus vs Noir Verse team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.285 team1 pre patch wr -0.238 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.205	T3	Nexus	76.5%	+53.0%	✓
Jun 14	K27 vs Walczaki team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.257 team1 avoid rate nuke 90d -0.205 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.200	T3	K27	76.5%	+53.0%	✓
Jun 14	raisedbypixels vs Omen team1 pre patch wr -0.278 team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.202 team1 wr mirage 30d +0.186	T3	raisedbypixels	54.4%	+8.9%	✗
Jun 14	Omen vs Xiaoma team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.182 Overpass Elo +0.179 team2 result volatility 90d +0.156	T3	Omen	76.5%	+53.0%	✓
Jun 14	Marsborne vs Festina Lente team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.266 team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.182 team1 avoid rate nuke 90d -0.176	T3	Festina Lente	50.2%	+0.3%	✗
Jun 14	Alliance vs Nexus team1 avoid rate mirage 90d +0.263 Overpass Elo +0.229 team2 result volatility 90d +0.180	T3	Alliance	76.5%	+53.0%	✗
Jun 14	By Legends vs Gatorian team2 pre patch wr +0.252 team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.185 Overpass Elo +0.170	T3	By Legends	76.5%	+53.0%	✗
Jun 14	Natus Vincere vs The MongolZ team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.498 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.303 team1 pre patch wr -0.260	T1	Natus Vincere	76.5%	+53.0%	✓
Jun 14	PURE vs Nexus team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.538 team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.195 team2 avg rating 90d +0.161	T3	PURE	52.6%	+5.2%	✗
Jun 14	Falcons vs Monte team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.485 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.289 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.227	T1	Falcons	82.8%	+65.7%	✓
Jun 14	EAC vs Noir Verse team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.303 team1 wr mirage 30d +0.213 team2 pick rate ancient 90d +0.203	T3	EAC	65.7%	+31.5%	✓
Jun 14	Marsborne vs Overtake Sector team1 avoid rate nuke 90d -0.193 Inferno pick rate -0.177 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.172	T3	Overtake Sector	50.2%	+0.3%	✗
Jun 14	Gatorian vs EAC team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.491 team1 pre patch wr -0.252 Overpass Elo +0.218	T3	EAC	50.2%	+0.3%	✓
Jun 14	PARIVISION vs Legacy team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.304 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.228 team2 avoid rate nuke 90d +0.211	T1	PARIVISION	76.5%	+53.0%	✗
Jun 14	Vitality vs MOUZ team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.246 team1 wr mirage 30d +0.246 team1 avoid rate mirage 90d +0.244	T1	Vitality	89.3%	+78.6%	✓
Jun 14	BASEMENT BOYS vs By Legends team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.452 team1 avoid rate mirage 90d +0.193 team1 elo +0.180	T3	BASEMENT BOYS	65.7%	+31.5%	✓
Jun 14	Aurora vs G2 team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.306 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.262 team1 avoid rate mirage 90d +0.254	T1	Aurora	76.5%	+53.0%	✓
Jun 14	BetBoom vs FURIA team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.508 team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.299 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.298	T1	BetBoom	65.7%	+31.5%	✗
Jun 14	LAG vs Mount Olympus team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.443 team1 avoid rate mirage 90d +0.274 team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.195	T3	LAG	66.2%	+32.4%	✗
Jun 14	Wanted Goons vs Mount Olympus team1 wr mirage 30d +0.203 team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.192 Overpass Elo +0.181	T3	Wanted Goons	66.2%	+32.4%	✗
Jun 14	DETONATE vs Iowa Stormboar team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.514 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.221 team2 elo overpass -0.182	T3	DETONATE	54.4%	+8.9%	✗
Jun 14	Spirit vs 9z team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.496 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.268 team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.240	T1	9z	58.7%	+17.5%	✗
Jun 13	Iowa Stormboar vs Overtake Sector Overpass Elo +0.260 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.173 team2 elo inferno -0.164	T3	Iowa Stormboar	65.7%	+31.5%	✓
Jun 13	DETONATE vs Wanted Goons team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.494 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.235 team1 pre patch wr -0.205	T3	Wanted Goons	61.8%	+23.6%	✗
Jun 13	Alliance vs EAC team1 avoid rate mirage 90d +0.257 Overpass Elo +0.239 team2 elo overpass +0.193	T3	Alliance	65.7%	+31.5%	✓
Jun 13	aimclub vs Noir Verse team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.309 Overpass Elo +0.258 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.225	T3	aimclub	66.2%	+32.4%	✗
Jun 13	MASQ vs STATE team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.288 team2 elo overpass +0.235 team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.216	T3	STATE	50.2%	+0.3%	✓
Jun 13	KOLESIE vs Bebop team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.214 team1 avoid rate inferno 90d +0.207 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.198	T2	KOLESIE	66.2%	+32.4%	✓
Jun 13	Washed vs MASONIC team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.484 team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.446 team2 elo mirage -0.233	T3	MASONIC	64.4%	+28.7%	✓
Jun 13	The Last Resort vs Dripmen team1 avoid rate mirage 90d +0.255 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.211 Overpass Elo -0.202	T3	The Last Resort	76.5%	+53.0%	✓
Jun 13	Nexus vs Metizport team2 elo anubis -0.223 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.203 Schedule strength +0.164	T3	Nexus	54.4%	+8.9%	✗
Jun 13	6666 vs Alliance team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.517 team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.283 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.254	T3	6666	54.4%	+8.9%	✗
Jun 13	Noir Verse vs Entropy team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.506 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.213 team2 avoid rate nuke 90d +0.184	T3	Entropy	50.2%	+0.3%	✗
Jun 13	aimclub vs PURE Overpass Elo +0.243 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.221 Tier-1 Elo +0.209	T3	PURE	61.8%	+23.6%	✗
Jun 13	fnatic vs BASEMENT BOYS team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.242 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.234 team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.214	T3	BASEMENT BOYS	64.4%	+28.7%	✗
Jun 13	PsychoFace vs G2 Ares team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.295 team2 avoid rate nuke 90d +0.253 team2 avg rating 90d +0.155	T2	PsychoFace	82.8%	+65.7%	✓
Jun 13	Metizport vs EAC team2 elo overpass +0.189 team2 elo inferno -0.175 team1 elo anubis +0.167	T3	Metizport	66.2%	+32.4%	✓
Jun 13	STATE vs MASONIC team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.437 team1 avoid rate mirage 90d +0.348 Overpass Elo -0.235	T3	STATE	54.4%	+8.9%	✓
Jun 13	RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy Overpass Elo -0.215 team2 elo nuke -0.179 Schedule strength +0.170	T2	RUSTEC	52.6%	+5.2%	✓
Jun 13	BASEMENT BOYS vs Entropy team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.449 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.211 team1 avoid rate mirage 90d +0.204	T3	BASEMENT BOYS	65.7%	+31.5%	✓
Jun 13	SAAB vs PURE team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.526 team1 pre patch wr -0.237 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.186	T3	PURE	61.8%	+23.6%	✓
Jun 13	MASQ vs Washed team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.201 team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.182 Overpass Elo +0.179	T3	MASQ	65.7%	+31.5%	✗
Jun 13	fnatic vs aimclub team2 elo overpass -0.211 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.206 team1 avoid rate nuke 90d -0.191	T3	fnatic	65.7%	+31.5%	✓
Jun 13	atputies vs Noir Verse team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.504 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.292 team1 pre patch wr -0.276	T3	atputies	65.7%	+31.5%	✗
Jun 13	Minkens finest vs 6666 team1 pre patch wr -0.284 team2 pre patch wr +0.264 team2 pick rate ancient 90d +0.191	T3	Minkens finest	76.5%	+53.0%	✗
Jun 13	B8 vs FUT team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.387 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.310 team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.264	T1	B8	52.6%	+5.2%	✗
Jun 13	Oxuji vs Misa team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.421 Overpass Elo +0.238 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.191	T2	Oxuji	57.0%	+13.9%	✓
Jun 13	Entropy vs Gatorian team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.520 Overpass Elo +0.243 team1 elo nuke -0.243	T3	Gatorian	50.2%	+0.3%	✗
Jun 13	Sashi Academy vs Washed team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.583 team1 avoid rate mirage 90d +0.251 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.216	T3	Washed	50.2%	+0.3%	✓
Jun 13	Metizport vs atputies team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.198 team1 elo dust2 -0.162 team1 elo anubis +0.157	T3	Metizport	66.2%	+32.4%	✓
Jun 13	aimclub vs 6666 team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.373 Overpass Elo +0.284 Tier-1 Elo +0.208	T3	6666	61.8%	+23.6%	✗
Jun 13	struggletony vs MASONIC team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.511 team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.441 team1 avoid rate mirage 90d +0.258	T3	MASONIC	64.4%	+28.7%	✓
Jun 13	Oxuji vs brazylijski luz team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.421 Overpass Elo +0.238 team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.185	T2	Oxuji	54.4%	+8.9%	✗
Jun 13	Alliance vs SAAB team1 avoid rate mirage 90d +0.264 Overpass Elo +0.238 team2 result volatility 90d +0.181	T3	Alliance	76.5%	+53.0%	✓
Jun 13	fnatic vs Minkens finest team1 avoid rate nuke 90d -0.198 Overpass Elo +0.182 team2 result volatility 90d +0.176	T3	Minkens finest	50.2%	+0.3%	✗
Jun 13	F5 vs Wanted Goons team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.215 team2 elo nuke -0.178 team2 elo overpass -0.151	T3	F5	57.0%	+13.9%	✗
Jun 13	DETONATE vs Festina Lente team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.266 team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.186 Overpass Elo +0.179	T3	DETONATE	63.7%	+27.5%	✗
Jun 13	Iowa Stormboar vs Club 333 team1 pre patch wr -0.277 Overpass Elo +0.249 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.242	T3	Iowa Stormboar	65.7%	+31.5%	✓
Jun 13	Third Prime vs Xiaoma team1 pre patch wr -0.225 Overpass Elo +0.190 team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.190	T3	Third Prime	54.4%	+8.9%	✗
Jun 13	Wanted Goons vs F5 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.204 team1 wr mirage 30d +0.191 team2 elo inferno -0.183	T3	Wanted Goons	57.0%	+13.9%	✓
Jun 13	ARCRED vs Acend Map-pool Elo +0.349 Elo edge -0.342 Pistol rounds +0.160	T3	ARCRED	66.3%	+32.6%	✗
Jun 12	Washed vs Invicta Schedule strength +0.174 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.166 Overpass Elo +0.164	T3	Washed	76.5%	+53.0%	✓
Jun 12	Sashi Academy vs STATE team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.564 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.308 team2 elo overpass +0.266	T3	Sashi Academy	52.6%	+5.2%	✗
Jun 12	struggletony vs MASONIC team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.451 team2 elo mirage -0.234 Schedule strength +0.184	T3	MASONIC	50.2%	+0.3%	✓
Jun 12	XI vs MASQ team1 avoid rate mirage 90d +0.310 team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.196 team1 effective elo -0.195	T3	XI	66.2%	+32.4%	✓
Jun 12	MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal Map-pool Elo -0.331 econ anti eco wr t1 -0.108 Schedule strength -0.100	T3	Abyssal	63.0%	+26.1%	✗
Jun 12	brazylijski luz vs HYPERSPIRIT econ defuse rate diff -0.187 Map-pool Elo +0.158 Schedule strength +0.090	T2	brazylijski luz	51.3%	+2.6%	✗
Jun 12	DETONATE vs Iowa Stormboar team2 pre patch wr +0.252 team2 pick rate ancient 90d +0.233 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.190	T3	DETONATE	76.5%	+53.0%	✓
Jun 12	Marsborne vs F5 team2 elo inferno -0.192 team2 wr when forced mirage -0.186 team1 avoid rate nuke 90d -0.181	T3	F5	50.2%	+0.3%	✗
Jun 12	Wanted Goons vs Overtake Sector team2 pre patch wr +0.237 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.198 Overpass Elo +0.185	T3	Wanted Goons	65.7%	+31.5%	✗
Jun 12	Club 333 vs Festina Lente team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.192 Overpass Elo +0.173 team2 result volatility 90d +0.162	T3	Club 333	65.7%	+31.5%	✗
Jun 11	Natus Vincere vs Spirit econ anti eco wr t1 -0.115 Elo edge -0.083 econ force freq t1 +0.072	T1	Spirit	55.0%	+10.0%	✓
Jun 11	Aurora vs Monte wr10 t2 -0.120 Rest days +0.097 econ anti eco wr t1 -0.092	T1	Monte	56.5%	+12.9%	✗
Jun 11	Falcons vs G2 30-day form +0.154 Elo edge -0.086 Recent form +0.084	T1	Falcons	61.8%	+23.6%	✓
Jun 11	Vitality vs FUT wr10 t2 -0.120 Rest days +0.097 econ anti eco wr t1 -0.092	T1	FUT	56.5%	+12.9%	✗
Jun 11	FURIA vs B8 Elo edge -0.150 Map-pool Elo +0.132 econ anti eco wr t1 -0.094	T1	B8	55.0%	+10.0%	✗
Jun 11	The MongolZ vs BetBoom Schedule strength +0.360 econ anti eco wr t1 -0.121 T-side econ -0.106	T1	BetBoom	56.5%	+12.9%	✓
Jun 11	B8 Academy vs OLDBOYS PL econ defuse rate diff +0.335 Pistol rounds +0.218 Buy power +0.197	T3	B8 Academy	74.0%	+48.1%	✗
Jun 11	Walczaki vs INOX Division Map-pool Elo -0.354 econ anti eco wr t1 -0.107 econ eco freq t1 -0.082	T3	INOX Division	56.5%	+12.9%	✗
Jun 11	MOUZ vs Legacy econ avg equip t1 -0.187 Buy power +0.182 econ pistol wr t1 -0.148	T1	Legacy	55.0%	+10.0%	✗
Jun 11	KOLESIE vs Virtus.pro Elo edge -0.151 Map-pool Elo +0.147 Schedule strength +0.143	T2	Virtus.pro	55.0%	+10.0%	✗
Jun 11	PARIVISION vs 9z Pistol rounds +0.167 Buy power -0.140 Elo edge -0.136	T1	9z	56.5%	+12.9%	✓
Jun 11	Lazer Cats vs GenOne Map-pool Elo -0.258 econ defuse rate diff -0.151 Buy power -0.145	T2	GenOne	56.5%	+12.9%	✓
Jun 10	illwill vs G2 Ares CT-side econ -0.180 30-day form -0.134 n30 diff -0.103	T2	G2 Ares	56.5%	+12.9%	✓
Jun 10	NEW VISION vs eternal premium Schedule strength -0.142 Force-buy +0.134 Map-pool Elo +0.129	T3	NEW VISION	61.8%	+23.6%	✓
Jun 10	Falcons Force vs DONSTU Schedule strength +0.279 Buy power +0.120 econ eco freq diff +0.059	T3	Falcons Force	64.9%	+29.9%	✗
Jun 10	Wingman vs XI Elo edge -0.321 Map-pool Elo +0.305 econ eco freq diff -0.118	T3	XI	56.5%	+12.9%	✓
Jun 10	KOLESIE vs Leo Elo edge -0.247 Map-pool Elo +0.161 Buy power +0.115	T2	KOLESIE	61.8%	+23.6%	✗
Jun 10	G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas Schedule strength -0.132 Map-pool Elo -0.095 econ eco freq diff -0.072	T2	Young Ninjas	55.0%	+10.0%	✗
Jun 10	Ursa vs HEROIC Academy Map-pool Elo +0.324 Elo edge -0.282 Schedule strength +0.114	T2	Ursa	61.8%	+23.6%	✓
Jun 10	SPARTA vs Atreides econ defuse rate diff -0.216 Schedule strength -0.142 Map-pool Elo -0.097	T3	Atreides	56.5%	+12.9%	✗
Jun 10	Ground Zero vs Masked Regime Map-pool Elo +0.303 Elo edge -0.166 Rest days +0.084	T3	Ground Zero	61.8%	+23.6%	✓
Jun 10	aAa vs RUSTEC CT-side econ -0.166 Map-pool Elo -0.126 Buy power -0.122	T2	RUSTEC	63.0%	+26.1%	✗
Jun 10	SPARTA vs brazylijski luz Elo edge -0.249 Map-pool Elo +0.205 Schedule strength -0.129	T2	brazylijski luz	55.0%	+10.0%	✗
Jun 10	Ding Cuts vs DXA Elo edge -0.230 CT-side econ -0.194 Map-pool Elo +0.153	T3	DXA	63.0%	+26.1%	✗
Jun 9	PsychoFace vs GenOne Schedule strength -0.162 CT-side econ -0.122 Elo edge -0.094	T2	GenOne	63.0%	+26.1%	✓
Jun 9	BIG vs B8 econ full wr t1 +0.357 Map-pool Elo +0.164 econ anti eco wr t1 -0.157	T1	BIG	51.3%	+2.6%	✗
Jun 9	KOLESIE vs RUSTEC Elo edge -0.274 Map-pool Elo +0.205 Schedule strength -0.162	T3	RUSTEC	56.5%	+12.9%	✗
Jun 9	Virtus.pro vs Oxuji Schedule strength -0.367 Buy power +0.270 CT-side econ +0.168	T2	Oxuji	55.0%	+10.0%	✗
Jun 9	Legacy vs TYLOO econ defuse rate diff -0.226 econ pistol wr t1 -0.167 econ plant rate diff +0.130	T1	Legacy	51.3%	+2.6%	✓
Jun 9	Betclic vs AM Map-pool Elo -0.379 Buy power +0.164 Elo edge +0.102	T3	AM	55.0%	+10.0%	✗
Jun 9	Monte vs paiN econ anti eco wr t1 -0.107 30-day form +0.097 Elo edge -0.089	T1	Monte	51.3%	+2.6%	✓
Jun 9	ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC Map-pool Elo +0.288 Elo edge -0.266 Schedule strength -0.162	T2	RUSTEC	56.5%	+12.9%	✗
Jun 9	Lavked vs Misa Elo edge -0.111 n30 diff -0.073 econ eco freq diff -0.068	T2	Misa	55.0%	+10.0%	✗
Jun 9	Abyssal vs Rooster Map-pool Elo -0.283 Schedule strength +0.087 Experience +0.062	T3	Abyssal	51.3%	+2.6%	✗
Jun 9	CYBERSHOKE vs ex-RUBY Map-pool Elo -0.332 Buy power +0.225 Pistol rounds +0.195	T3	CYBERSHOKE	51.3%	+2.6%	✗
Jun 9	MANA vs Oxuji econ defuse rate diff -0.179 Schedule strength -0.147 Map-pool Elo -0.099	T2	Oxuji	56.5%	+12.9%	✓
Jun 9	MGLBROS vs MARKandLARRY econ anti eco wr t1 -0.115 Elo edge -0.079 econ force freq t1 +0.072	T3	MARKandLARRY	55.0%	+10.0%	✓
Jun 9	INOX Division vs Bebop CT-side econ +0.194 Map-pool Elo +0.187 Buy power +0.158	T2	INOX Division	68.9%	+37.8%	✓
Jun 9	Club 333 vs Chicken Coop CT-side econ -0.149 econ eco freq diff -0.145 Buy power -0.139	T3	Chicken Coop	71.0%	+41.9%	✓
Jun 9	Brahmas vs Villainous wr10 t2 -0.122 Rest days +0.097 30-day form -0.092	T3	Villainous	56.5%	+12.9%	✓
Jun 8	HEROIC Academy vs NEW VISION Map-pool Elo -0.377 Buy power -0.102 econ eco freq diff -0.084	T2	NEW VISION	63.0%	+26.1%	✗
Jun 8	DONSTU vs Banger Gang Buy power +0.234 econ force freq diff +0.225 Schedule strength -0.123	T3	DONSTU	68.9%	+37.8%	✓
Jun 8	Acend vs ex-RUBY Map-pool Elo -0.247 econ defuse rate diff -0.225 Elo edge +0.141	T3	ex-RUBY	63.0%	+26.1%	✓
Jun 8	Misa vs eternal premium CT-side econ -0.128 Buy power -0.121 econ eco freq diff +0.111	T3	Misa	66.3%	+32.6%	✗
Jun 8	XI vs Clutchain Rest days +0.278 Schedule strength -0.278 Buy power +0.241	T3	XI	61.8%	+23.6%	✓
Jun 8	ROUNDS vs OLDBOYS PL econ anti eco wr t1 -0.101 Map-pool Elo -0.096 30-day form +0.077	T3	ROUNDS	51.3%	+2.6%	✗
Jun 8	M80 vs Legacy Schedule strength -0.153 Buy power +0.124 econ pistol wr t1 -0.099	T1	Legacy	55.0%	+10.0%	✓
Jun 8	G2 vs BIG econ anti eco wr t1 -0.104 Map-pool Elo +0.101 Rest days +0.094	T1	G2	54.8%	+9.6%	✓
Jun 8	Ursa vs RUSTEC Elo edge -0.179 econ eco freq diff -0.107 Map-pool Elo +0.086	T3	RUSTEC	55.0%	+10.0%	✓
Jun 8	Monte vs BetBoom wr10 t2 -0.123 econ anti eco wr t1 -0.114 Map-pool Elo -0.076	T1	BetBoom	55.0%	+10.0%	✓
Jun 8	TYLOO vs 9z Elo edge -0.136 Buy power -0.110 econ defuse rate t1 -0.103	T1	TYLOO	51.3%	+2.6%	✗
Jun 8	The Last Resort vs GenOne Elo edge -0.113 Buy power -0.094 CT-side econ -0.093	T2	GenOne	55.0%	+10.0%	✓
Jun 8	MIBR vs B8 econ defuse rate diff +0.287 Pistol rounds +0.220 Schedule strength -0.188	T1	B8	67.5%	+35.1%	✓
Jun 8	Astralis vs paiN econ anti eco wr t1 -0.121 Map-pool Elo +0.094 Elo edge -0.094	T1	Astralis	51.3%	+2.6%	✗
Jun 8	brazylijski luz vs ex-Zero Tenacity Schedule strength -0.136 Elo edge -0.087 Head-to-head +0.056	T2	ex-Zero Tenacity	56.5%	+12.9%	✗
Jun 8	Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE econ avg equip t1 -0.122 CT-side econ -0.114 Schedule strength -0.100	T3	Nuclear TigeRES	51.3%	+2.6%	✓
Jun 8	Leo vs HYPERSPIRIT Map-pool Elo +0.363 Elo edge -0.222 Schedule strength +0.107	T2	HYPERSPIRIT	55.0%	+10.0%	✗
Jun 8	KOLESIE vs ASTRAL Elo edge -0.267 Pistol rounds +0.190 Map-pool Elo +0.186	T3	KOLESIE	61.8%	+23.6%	✓
Jun 8	Chicken Coop vs Third Prime Rest days +0.277 Elo edge -0.077 Experience +0.056	T3	Chicken Coop	64.9%	+29.9%	✓
Jun 7	G2 vs FUT wr10 t2 -0.120 Rest days +0.097 30-day form -0.093	T1	FUT	55.0%	+10.0%	✓
Jun 7	GenOne vs BIG Academy Map-pool Elo -0.124 exp min -0.089 econ plant rate diff -0.089	T2	BIG Academy	56.5%	+12.9%	✗
Jun 7	WROTBERRY vs Noir Verse Rest days +0.231 Map-pool Elo +0.190 econ pistol wr t1 -0.133	T2	WROTBERRY	54.8%	+9.6%	✗
Jun 7	TDK vs INOX Division Pistol rounds +0.176 CT-side econ -0.126 Buy power -0.089	T3	INOX Division	55.0%	+10.0%	✗
Jun 7	B8 vs GamerLegion Map-pool Elo -0.302 econ force freq diff +0.243 Buy power +0.243	T1	B8	54.8%	+9.6%	✓
Jun 7	Spirit vs 9z econ anti eco wr t1 -0.103 Map-pool Elo +0.098 Elo edge -0.096	T1	Spirit	51.3%	+2.6%	✓
Jun 7	Betclic vs Spirit Academy Rest days +0.375 Map-pool Elo +0.208 Schedule strength -0.141	T2	Betclic	66.3%	+32.6%	✗
Jun 7	Acend vs Phantom econ defuse rate diff -0.207 Schedule strength +0.118 Map-pool Elo +0.118	T2	Phantom	55.0%	+10.0%	✓
Jun 7	CYBERSHOKE vs SHISHKA Rest days +0.289 econ pistol wr t1 -0.149 Schedule strength -0.125	T2	SHISHKA	55.0%	+10.0%	✓
Jun 7	eSuba vs LPH econ anti eco wr t1 -0.115 Elo edge -0.079 econ force freq t1 +0.072	T3	LPH	55.0%	+10.0%	✓
Jun 7	Lilmix vs NEW VISION Map-pool Elo -0.425 Elo edge +0.177 Buy power -0.176	T2	NEW VISION	63.0%	+26.1%	✓
Jun 7	FlyQuest vs paiN econ full wr t1 +0.394 econ force freq diff +0.235 Buy power +0.209	T1	FlyQuest	68.9%	+37.8%	✗
Jun 7	ARCRED vs Walczaki Map-pool Elo +0.345 Elo edge -0.267 econ avg equip t1 -0.151	T3	ARCRED	54.8%	+9.6%	✗
Jun 7	BetBoom vs M80 econ full wr t1 +0.403 CT-side econ +0.192 Schedule strength +0.103	T1	BetBoom	66.3%	+32.6%	✓
Jun 7	Monte vs Legacy Map-pool Elo -0.322 Rest days +0.099 Schedule strength -0.097	T1	Legacy	56.5%	+12.9%	✗
Jun 7	MIBR vs BIG Pistol rounds +0.179 Buy power -0.150 Schedule strength -0.141	T1	BIG	56.5%	+12.9%	✓
Jun 7	Astralis vs TYLOO Schedule strength -0.133 30-day form -0.115 econ anti eco wr t1 -0.097	T1	TYLOO	56.5%	+12.9%	✓
Jun 7	SPARTA vs AM Elo edge +0.136 Buy power +0.128 CT-side econ +0.114	T3	SPARTA	61.8%	+23.6%	✗
Jun 7	BIPT vs ZUFE econ anti eco wr t1 -0.115 Elo edge -0.079 econ force freq t1 +0.072	T3	ZUFE	55.0%	+10.0%	✗
Jun 7	Betclic vs Atreides Map-pool Elo -0.367 CT-side econ -0.129 Schedule strength -0.066	T3	Atreides	67.5%	+35.1%	✗
Jun 7	Wanted Goons vs Brahmas Map-pool Elo -0.353 Rest days +0.205 Schedule strength -0.096	T3	Brahmas	55.0%	+10.0%	✓
Jun 7	Club 333 vs raisedbypixels Rest days +0.083 Elo edge -0.074 econ eco freq diff +0.054	T3	Club 333	54.8%	+9.6%	✓
Jun 7	LAG vs Villainous Rest days +0.341 Map-pool Elo +0.337 Elo edge -0.282	T3	LAG	68.9%	+37.8%	✗
Jun 6	ex-Zero Tenacity vs BIG Academy CT-side econ -0.131 Map-pool Elo -0.098 n30 diff +0.084	T2	BIG Academy	56.5%	+12.9%	✗
Jun 6	Spirit vs MIBR econ anti eco wr t1 -0.099 Map-pool Elo +0.096 Elo edge -0.096	T1	Spirit	54.8%	+9.6%	✓
Jun 6	BetBoom vs GamerLegion econ full wr t1 +0.399 econ force freq diff +0.241 Map-pool Elo +0.201	T1	BetBoom	84.9%	+69.8%	✓
Jun 6	Legacy vs FlyQuest Elo edge -0.147 CT-side econ -0.146 Buy power -0.123	T1	FlyQuest	55.0%	+10.0%	✗
Jun 6	Johnny Speeds vs 100 Thieves Schedule strength -0.166 Buy power +0.130 Elo edge -0.103	T2	Johnny Speeds	51.3%	+2.6%	✗
Jun 6	paiN vs BIG Pistol rounds +0.168 CT-side econ -0.161 Buy power -0.159	T1	BIG	67.5%	+35.1%	✓
Jun 6	FUT vs TYLOO Schedule strength -0.138 econ anti eco wr t1 -0.088 Elo edge -0.080	T1	TYLOO	55.0%	+10.0%	✗
Jun 6	Leo vs NEW VISION Elo edge -0.141 econ eco freq diff -0.140 Experience +0.122	T2	NEW VISION	55.0%	+10.0%	✗
Jun 6	ex-RUBY vs 100 Thieves Map-pool Elo +0.319 Elo edge -0.315 Schedule strength -0.293	T2	ex-RUBY	51.3%	+2.6%	✗
Jun 6	Legacy vs MIBR econ force freq diff +0.263 CT-side econ +0.192 Buy power +0.183	T1	Legacy	74.0%	+48.1%	✗
Jun 6	Spirit vs BetBoom wr10 t2 -0.121 Rest days +0.097 30-day form -0.093	T1	BetBoom	56.5%	+12.9%	✗
Jun 6	Monte vs BIG wr10 t2 -0.120 Map-pool Elo +0.100 Rest days +0.097	T1	BIG	55.0%	+10.0%	✗
Jun 6	aAa vs GenOne Map-pool Elo -0.314 CT-side econ -0.173 Buy power -0.136	T2	GenOne	74.9%	+49.7%	✓
Jun 6	FUT vs B8 Elo edge -0.142 Map-pool Elo +0.137 econ anti eco wr t1 -0.103	T1	B8	55.0%	+10.0%	✗
Jun 6	paiN vs TYLOO Buy power -0.189 Schedule strength -0.182 CT-side econ -0.165	T1	TYLOO	74.9%	+49.7%	✓
Jun 6	Astralis vs GamerLegion Map-pool Elo +0.106 econ anti eco wr t1 -0.104 Elo edge -0.097	T1	Astralis	54.8%	+9.6%	✓

LIVE PERFORMANCE

Predictions 313

Accuracy 52.4%

Shadow ROI -12.5%

Bet Hit Rate 47.6%

Shadow P&L -97.7u

Avg AUC (live) 0.7418

CALIBRATION QUALITY

Brier Score 0.2549

Quality Poor

Brier score 0=perfect, 0.25=random. Lower is better.

DATA COVERAGE

First prediction Jun 5, 2026

Last prediction Jun 22, 2026

Active span 17d

Avg / week 120.2 preds

SELECTOR ROLE

Default — runs on every upcoming match when NEXUS cannot be applied.

VERSION HISTORY

v1 2025-Q4

Baseline 238-feature ensemble; replaced APEX v3

v2 2026-Q1

538 features; exp-decay rolling windows; SoS features added

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