INTEL / PREDICTIONS / VERIFY
Public Prediction Ledger
Every prediction is cryptographically hashed at the moment it is made.
The hash is SHA-256 of
MODEL|VERSION|MATCH_ID|TEAM1_ID|TEAM2_ID|PROB_T1|PROB_T2|WINNER_ID.
You can independently verify any prediction without trusting us. All 957 predictions shown newest first.
HOW TO VERIFY ANY PREDICTION
Linux/Mac: echo -n "MODEL|VERSION|MATCH_ID|T1_ID|T2_ID|P1.6f|P2.6f|WINNER_ID" | sha256sum
Python: import hashlib; hashlib.sha256(b"...").hexdigest()
Windows: [System.Text.Encoding]::UTF8.GetBytes("...") | Get-FileHash -Algorithm SHA256 -InputStream ...
Probabilities are formatted to 6 decimal places. Pipe
| separator. No spaces, no newline.
957 total predictions — page 15 of 39 (25 matches per page)
Jun 14 2026 22:25
match #2395290
4 models
✓ CORRECT
| Model | Pick | Win Prob | Edge | Made at | SHA-256 Hash | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| · |
NEXUS
v2
Market price +0.382
team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.265
team1 avoid rate nuke 90d -0.219
|
Marsborne | 76.7% | +53.4% | Jun 14 23:00:24 | f37f6d5db5a70afb…168868fd | |
| ★ |
TITAN
v2
AUC 0.7420
Ensemble mean +0.147
PHANTOM +0.100
Elo win prob +0.038
|
Marsborne | 56.8% | +13.6% | Jun 14 21:30:08 | 437f1144c5d5de7f…160287da | |
| · |
PHANTOM
v2
AUC 0.7625
team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.345
team1 avoid rate nuke 90d -0.260
team1 elo anubis -0.222
|
Marsborne | 51.3% | +2.7% | Jun 14 21:30:08 | 0d27532e1a94d99c…cd254845 | |
| · |
ORACLE
v2
AUC 0.7531
team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.265
team1 avoid rate nuke 90d -0.219
team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.195
|
Iowa Stormboar | 50.2% | +0.3% | Jun 14 21:30:08 | 625f789f723d4e34…51c4457d |
Jun 16 2026 17:00
match #2395196
4 models
✗ WRONG
| Model | Pick | Win Prob | Edge | Made at | SHA-256 Hash | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| · |
NEXUS
v2
Market price -0.077
team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.298
team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.231
|
KOLESIE | 63.6% | +27.2% | Jun 15 03:15:21 | e9e9afd3f5533fc8…156dfdbd | |
| ★ |
TITAN
v2
AUC 0.7420
Ensemble mean +0.464
PHANTOM +0.223
PHANTOM confidence +0.064
|
KOLESIE | 73.9% | +47.8% | Jun 14 20:30:29 | c116d8ac3944ccbe…d128ecd7 | |
| · |
PHANTOM
v2
AUC 0.7625
team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.385
team2 glicko2 rating -0.338
Overpass Elo +0.250
|
KOLESIE | 79.5% | +59.1% | Jun 14 20:30:29 | 70339add6579098c…e9186ade | |
| · |
ORACLE
v2
AUC 0.7531
team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.297
team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.230
Tier-1 Elo -0.169
|
KOLESIE | 65.7% | +31.5% | Jun 14 20:30:29 | 1caf451ace0c04cc…f6eea784 |
Jun 16 2026 14:00
match #2395195
3 models
✗ WRONG
| Model | Pick | Win Prob | Edge | Made at | SHA-256 Hash | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ |
TITAN
v2
AUC 0.7420
Ensemble mean +0.380
PHANTOM +0.128
PHANTOM confidence -0.058
|
PsychoFace | 64.9% | +29.7% | Jun 14 20:30:28 | 0fe3ab42bbf1fbe0…ceaf1f7c | |
| · |
PHANTOM
v2
AUC 0.7625
team2 glicko2 rating -0.358
team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.335
Overpass Elo +0.266
|
PsychoFace | 64.0% | +28.0% | Jun 14 20:30:28 | 104c40a61f6f1765…24932d2c | |
| · |
ORACLE
v2
AUC 0.7531
team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.259
team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.229
team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.208
|
PsychoFace | 66.2% | +32.4% | Jun 14 20:30:28 | f09c9c9ba343f66a…57a30295 |
Jun 16 2026 11:00
match #2395194
4 models
✗ WRONG
| Model | Pick | Win Prob | Edge | Made at | SHA-256 Hash | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| · |
NEXUS
v2
Market price -0.217
team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.244
team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.178
|
illwill | 60.0% | +20.1% | Jun 15 03:15:20 | acb9073da3b863aa…b0478140 | |
| ★ |
TITAN
v2
AUC 0.7420
Ensemble mean +0.379
PHANTOM +0.127
PHANTOM confidence -0.058
|
illwill | 64.5% | +28.9% | Jun 14 20:30:28 | 008a536aba12490e…82ed3406 | |
| · |
PHANTOM
v2
AUC 0.7625
team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.455
Glicko2 rating +0.361
team2 glicko2 rating -0.279
|
illwill | 64.0% | +28.0% | Jun 14 20:30:28 | e8bee09003d4da4f…9c129c1d | |
| · |
ORACLE
v2
AUC 0.7531
team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.245
team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.178
team2 elo inferno -0.160
|
illwill | 65.7% | +31.5% | Jun 14 20:30:28 | ea991aa121eeb988…0821bb8e |
Jun 15 2026 17:00
match #2395193
4 models
✓ CORRECT
| Model | Pick | Win Prob | Edge | Made at | SHA-256 Hash | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| · |
NEXUS
v2
Market price -0.255
team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.297
team2 avoid rate nuke 90d +0.212
|
SPARTA | 68.1% | +36.2% | Jun 14 22:00:23 | 8c572252427e7e77…ff2f3521 | |
| ★ |
TITAN
v2
AUC 0.7420
Ensemble mean +0.859
PHANTOM +0.394
PHANTOM confidence +0.185
|
SPARTA | 85.8% | +71.6% | Jun 14 20:30:26 | c43e4c5c08a2af71…e7787f95 | |
| · |
PHANTOM
v2
AUC 0.7625
Glicko2 rating +0.436
team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.416
team2 avoid rate nuke 90d +0.276
|
SPARTA | 86.3% | +72.6% | Jun 14 20:30:26 | 34dd00306fa15a32…843650e7 | |
| · |
ORACLE
v2
AUC 0.7531
team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.297
team2 avoid rate nuke 90d +0.212
Overpass Elo +0.198
|
SPARTA | 76.5% | +53.0% | Jun 14 20:30:26 | a70cbb7f433b4892…7e731a4d |
Jun 15 2026 14:00
match #2395192
3 models
✓ CORRECT
| Model | Pick | Win Prob | Edge | Made at | SHA-256 Hash | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ |
TITAN
v2
AUC 0.7420
Ensemble mean +0.214
Elo win prob +0.123
PHANTOM +0.103
|
Virtus.pro | 61.3% | +22.6% | Jun 14 20:30:25 | e0adf26000b0d31c…3be93c45 | |
| · |
PHANTOM
v2
AUC 0.7625
Overpass Elo -0.585
team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.346
team2 elo inferno +0.239
|
brazylijski luz | 55.2% | +10.3% | Jun 14 20:30:25 | 8733a8b42cb78f2e…4164fd23 | |
| · |
ORACLE
v2
AUC 0.7531
Overpass Elo -0.254
team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.244
Tier-1 Elo -0.192
|
Virtus.pro | 65.7% | +31.5% | Jun 14 20:30:25 | 3121fae7d77e23bf…8b9b4189 |
Jun 15 2026 11:00
match #2395191
4 models
✓ CORRECT
| Model | Pick | Win Prob | Edge | Made at | SHA-256 Hash | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| · |
NEXUS
v2
Market price -0.124
team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.478
team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.220
|
RUSTEC | 51.5% | +3.1% | Jun 14 22:00:20 | 2b983e694dfa8b35…3567aeba | |
| ★ |
TITAN
v2
AUC 0.7420
Ensemble mean +0.211
PHANTOM +0.102
PHANTOM confidence -0.054
|
Bebop | 58.2% | +16.4% | Jun 14 20:30:24 | a2fcf5883b59ccee…4157bdcc | |
| · |
PHANTOM
v2
AUC 0.7625
team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.425
team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.392
team2 glicko2 rating -0.283
|
Bebop | 54.4% | +8.7% | Jun 14 20:30:24 | d13c4821e6e29938…128101f3 | |
| · |
ORACLE
v2
AUC 0.7531
team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.478
team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.220
team2 elo inferno -0.166
|
Bebop | 54.4% | +8.9% | Jun 14 20:30:24 | 8c96b1766136e650…80fc166d |
Jun 14 2026 17:53
match #2395321
4 models
✗ WRONG
| Model | Pick | Win Prob | Edge | Made at | SHA-256 Hash | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| · |
NEXUS
v2
Market price +0.023
team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.334
team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.182
|
Metizport | 66.3% | +32.6% | Jun 14 18:15:13 | 6b660d0a9c5f8b79…21f131e9 | |
| ★ |
TITAN
v2
AUC 0.7420
Ensemble mean +0.367
PHANTOM +0.133
Elo win prob +0.125
|
Metizport | 67.0% | +34.0% | Jun 14 17:00:23 | b9337a9721a72e29…8a39a32d | |
| · |
PHANTOM
v2
AUC 0.7625
team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.304
team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.287
team2 elo overpass -0.250
|
Metizport | 64.0% | +28.0% | Jun 14 17:00:23 | d4fcaa9bb2283843…3d35dd29 | |
| · |
ORACLE
v2
AUC 0.7531
team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.329
team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.182
team2 elo overpass -0.176
|
Metizport | 65.7% | +31.5% | Jun 14 17:00:23 | ed781236a0cb525e…eaf23d9a |
Jun 14 2026 14:22
match #2395320
4 models
✓ CORRECT
| Model | Pick | Win Prob | Edge | Made at | SHA-256 Hash | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| · |
NEXUS
v2
Market price -0.308
team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.333
team1 avoid rate nuke 90d -0.233
|
Alliance | 62.3% | +24.7% | Jun 14 14:45:08 | 8356071f35246482…1e3085c5 | |
| ★ |
TITAN
v2
AUC 0.7420
Ensemble mean +0.210
PHANTOM +0.138
Elo win prob +0.126
|
fnatic | 62.7% | +25.4% | Jun 14 14:00:07 | a6b2a42096e2c1c5…c55b8880 | |
| · |
PHANTOM
v2
AUC 0.7625
team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.313
team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.312
team1 avoid rate nuke 90d -0.274
|
fnatic | 64.0% | +28.0% | Jun 14 14:00:07 | a4d0998f11d24de5…81177630 | |
| · |
ORACLE
v2
AUC 0.7531
team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.333
team1 avoid rate nuke 90d -0.233
team2 elo overpass -0.185
|
Alliance | 50.2% | +0.3% | Jun 14 14:00:07 | bdfff18befec1e5b…38c96d93 |