INTEL / PREDICTIONS / VERIFY
Public Prediction Ledger
Every prediction is cryptographically hashed at the moment it is made.
The hash is SHA-256 of
MODEL|VERSION|MATCH_ID|TEAM1_ID|TEAM2_ID|PROB_T1|PROB_T2|WINNER_ID.
You can independently verify any prediction without trusting us. All 957 predictions shown newest first.
HOW TO VERIFY ANY PREDICTION
Linux/Mac: echo -n "MODEL|VERSION|MATCH_ID|T1_ID|T2_ID|P1.6f|P2.6f|WINNER_ID" | sha256sum
Python: import hashlib; hashlib.sha256(b"...").hexdigest()
Windows: [System.Text.Encoding]::UTF8.GetBytes("...") | Get-FileHash -Algorithm SHA256 -InputStream ...
Probabilities are formatted to 6 decimal places. Pipe
| separator. No spaces, no newline.
957 total predictions — page 24 of 39 (25 matches per page)
Jun 15 2026 08:30
match #2395236
3 models
✓ CORRECT
| Model | Pick | Win Prob | Edge | Made at | SHA-256 Hash | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ |
TITAN
v2
AUC 0.7420
Ensemble mean +0.368
PHANTOM +0.132
Elo win prob +0.114
|
Rooster | 66.1% | +32.3% | Jun 13 00:32:59 | 4cd8b664dea3289f…791ecd5a | |
| · |
PHANTOM
v2
AUC 0.7625
Overpass Elo -0.606
team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.317
team2 wr nuke 90d +0.298
|
Rooster | 64.0% | +28.0% | Jun 13 00:32:59 | 7027edaf698897b5…89d57288 | |
| · |
ORACLE
v2
AUC 0.7531
team1 avoid rate mirage 90d +0.280
team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.266
Overpass Elo -0.252
|
Rooster | 66.2% | +32.4% | Jun 13 00:32:59 | cb3a377e4f875e53…05d62e94 |
Jun 15 2026 08:00
match #2395128
3 models
✗ WRONG
| Model | Pick | Win Prob | Edge | Made at | SHA-256 Hash | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ |
TITAN
v2
AUC 0.7420
Ensemble mean +0.380
PHANTOM +0.128
PHANTOM confidence -0.058
|
Gentle Mates | 64.9% | +29.7% | Jun 13 00:32:59 | 4136f49d505fc103…d62bb0ba | |
| · |
PHANTOM
v2
AUC 0.7625
Glicko2 rating +0.555
team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.323
team2 glicko2 rating -0.261
|
Gentle Mates | 64.0% | +28.0% | Jun 13 00:32:59 | 99a018863abbbe1c…23dc70ee | |
| · |
ORACLE
v2
AUC 0.7531
team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.255
team2 avoid rate nuke 90d +0.209
Schedule strength +0.181
|
Gentle Mates | 66.2% | +32.4% | Jun 13 00:32:59 | 59c0ef31da9ff49a…558e9984 |
Jun 14 2026 17:30
match #2395085
3 models
✓ CORRECT
| Model | Pick | Win Prob | Edge | Made at | SHA-256 Hash | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ |
TITAN
v2
AUC 0.7420
Ensemble mean +0.379
PHANTOM +0.128
PHANTOM confidence -0.058
|
Arch | 64.9% | +29.7% | Jun 13 00:32:58 | 10ca70c0ba3f2399…72efef7f | |
| · |
PHANTOM
v2
AUC 0.7625
team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.323
team2 glicko2 rating -0.321
team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.284
|
Arch | 64.0% | +28.0% | Jun 13 00:32:58 | 6bf2ae0a8379f164…3aee3c69 | |
| · |
ORACLE
v2
AUC 0.7531
team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.288
team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.261
team2 pick rate ancient 90d +0.210
|
Arch | 65.7% | +31.5% | Jun 13 00:32:58 | 91e6cd073488e53f…f5e22a01 |
Jun 14 2026 17:00
match #2395127
4 models
✗ WRONG
| Model | Pick | Win Prob | Edge | Made at | SHA-256 Hash | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| · |
NEXUS
v2
Market price -0.465
team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.263
team2 avoid rate nuke 90d +0.242
|
illwill | 69.8% | +39.6% | Jun 13 08:45:31 | 76ac22ecb82215d1…26c2b21a | |
| ★ |
TITAN
v2
AUC 0.7420
Ensemble mean +0.857
PHANTOM +0.381
PHANTOM confidence +0.185
|
illwill | 85.3% | +70.7% | Jun 13 00:32:58 | 139c4673e555616f…35feb1b2 | |
| · |
PHANTOM
v2
AUC 0.7625
team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.422
Glicko2 rating +0.386
team1 pre patch wr -0.309
|
illwill | 93.9% | +87.8% | Jun 13 00:32:58 | 60fa8126ad9f6104…1e3a20c5 | |
| · |
ORACLE
v2
AUC 0.7531
team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.263
team2 avoid rate nuke 90d +0.242
team1 pre patch wr -0.234
|
illwill | 76.5% | +53.0% | Jun 13 00:32:58 | 8dba39a17a3dea60…36fab1e0 |
Jun 14 2026 17:00
match #2395190
4 models
✓ CORRECT
| Model | Pick | Win Prob | Edge | Made at | SHA-256 Hash | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| · |
NEXUS
v2
Market price -0.013
team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.350
team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.279
|
GenOne | 50.5% | +0.9% | Jun 13 01:30:15 | 47d636e50220affd…3b3200c9 | |
| ★ |
TITAN
v2
AUC 0.7420
Ensemble mean -0.284
Elo win prob +0.111
ORACLE -0.017
|
GenOne | 58.9% | +17.9% | Jun 13 00:32:58 | c4b1393b66d82633…d2ba0df4 | |
| · |
PHANTOM
v2
AUC 0.7625
team2 elo dust2 -0.755
team2 glicko2 rating -0.448
team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.343
|
GenOne | 63.3% | +26.6% | Jun 13 00:32:58 | 89ea028e1488f931…4f324733 | |
| · |
ORACLE
v2
AUC 0.7531
team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.350
team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.279
team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.252
|
GenOne | 50.2% | +0.3% | Jun 13 00:32:58 | e59e7ea0156bb956…096785e4 |
Jun 14 2026 14:00
match #2395189
4 models
✗ WRONG
| Model | Pick | Win Prob | Edge | Made at | SHA-256 Hash | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| · |
NEXUS
v2
Market price -0.157
team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.320
team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.264
|
ex-RUBY | 63.3% | +26.5% | Jun 13 01:00:19 | 4a9e7151b63e940f…986126cb | |
| ★ |
TITAN
v2
AUC 0.7420
Ensemble mean +0.499
PHANTOM +0.377
PHANTOM confidence +0.185
|
ex-RUBY | 80.3% | +60.7% | Jun 13 00:32:58 | f04e9d677a94c804…788cf726 | |
| · |
PHANTOM
v2
AUC 0.7625
team1 elo dust2 +0.412
team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.377
team2 elo overpass -0.281
|
ex-RUBY | 86.3% | +72.6% | Jun 13 00:32:58 | c88be0355d909fe5…ffe7606a | |
| · |
ORACLE
v2
AUC 0.7531
team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.320
team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.264
Tier-1 Elo -0.191
|
ex-RUBY | 65.7% | +31.5% | Jun 13 00:32:58 | f58e589b25e64295…56237c8f |
T3
1win vs TDK
Jun 14 2026 14:00
match #2395126
4 models
✓ CORRECT
| Model | Pick | Win Prob | Edge | Made at | SHA-256 Hash | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| · |
NEXUS
v2
Market price -0.221
team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.284
Overpass Elo +0.243
|
TDK | 51.3% | +2.6% | Jun 13 08:45:31 | b9934d71ad0c61b1…725fec4b | |
| ★ |
TITAN
v2
AUC 0.7420
Ensemble mean +0.208
PHANTOM +0.136
PHANTOM confidence -0.054
|
1win | 59.5% | +18.9% | Jun 13 00:32:58 | 253a82d912ffa83a…774b5805 | |
| · |
PHANTOM
v2
AUC 0.7625
team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.402
team2 glicko2 rating -0.334
team1 avoid rate nuke 90d -0.268
|
1win | 64.0% | +28.0% | Jun 13 00:32:58 | db8b166587778de8…51aa01a6 | |
| · |
ORACLE
v2
AUC 0.7531
team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.284
Overpass Elo +0.243
team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.238
|
1win | 52.6% | +5.2% | Jun 13 00:32:58 | a990451470ed9b72…90fd4edf |
Jun 14 2026 14:00
match #2395291
3 models
✗ WRONG
| Model | Pick | Win Prob | Edge | Made at | SHA-256 Hash | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ |
TITAN
v2
AUC 0.7420
Ensemble mean -0.392
PHANTOM -0.225
Model agreement -0.025
|
VanirQuick | 72.3% | +44.6% | Jun 13 00:32:57 | e0ab3519c7496f32…3cd163c7 | |
| · |
PHANTOM
v2
AUC 0.7625
team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.486
Inferno pick rate -0.287
opening kill rate diff -0.268
|
VanirQuick | 76.0% | +52.1% | Jun 13 00:32:57 | 8bdaaaee54075902…1c038134 | |
| · |
ORACLE
v2
AUC 0.7531
team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.561
team1 avoid rate mirage 90d +0.335
Overpass Elo +0.207
|
VanirQuick | 50.2% | +0.3% | Jun 13 00:32:57 | 706750a4a06e2b6d…460a3233 |
Jun 14 2026 11:00
match #2395125
4 models
✓ CORRECT
| Model | Pick | Win Prob | Edge | Made at | SHA-256 Hash | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| · |
NEXUS
v2
Market price -0.100
team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.250
team1 avoid rate mirage 90d +0.239
|
HOTU | 74.9% | +49.8% | Jun 13 08:45:30 | af84372ea593cca9…e8a0f87c | |
| ★ |
TITAN
v2
AUC 0.7420
Ensemble mean +0.808
PHANTOM +0.223
PHANTOM confidence +0.064
|
HOTU | 80.2% | +60.4% | Jun 13 00:32:57 | 3bc1c0689f1ccb13…49437f2e | |
| · |
PHANTOM
v2
AUC 0.7625
team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.414
Glicko2 rating +0.345
team2 elo nuke -0.246
|
HOTU | 81.8% | +63.6% | Jun 13 00:32:57 | f41e5c1f98363e3e…873aaad1 | |
| · |
ORACLE
v2
AUC 0.7531
team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.250
team1 avoid rate mirage 90d +0.239
Overpass Elo +0.235
|
HOTU | 76.5% | +53.0% | Jun 13 00:32:57 | b6d325f9b5284127…364b9b5a |