INTEL / PREDICTIONS / VERIFY

Public Prediction Ledger

HOW TO VERIFY ANY PREDICTION

Linux/Mac: echo -n "MODEL|VERSION|MATCH_ID|T1_ID|T2_ID|P1.6f|P2.6f|WINNER_ID" | sha256sum

Python: import hashlib; hashlib.sha256(b"...").hexdigest()

Windows: [System.Text.Encoding]::UTF8.GetBytes("...") | Get-FileHash -Algorithm SHA256 -InputStream ...

Probabilities are formatted to 6 decimal places. Pipe | separator. No spaces, no newline.

957 total predictions — page 22 of 39 (25 matches per page)

T3 MASQ vs Washed

Jun 13 2026 13:11 match #2395274 4 models ✓ CORRECT

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
·	NEXUS v2 Market price -0.547 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.205 Overpass Elo +0.182	Washed	51.5%	+2.9%	Jun 13 13:15:10	44a9eff1d0130980…11486b4c
★	TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420 Ensemble mean +0.379 PHANTOM +0.128 PHANTOM confidence -0.058	MASQ	64.9%	+29.7%	Jun 13 09:45:10	4211a096a13f801f…9a4985c8
·	PHANTOM v2 AUC 0.7625 Overpass Elo +0.267 team1 avoid rate ancient 90d +0.258 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.224	MASQ	64.0%	+28.0%	Jun 13 09:45:10	9e1a1810547db96c…ba0028bc
·	ORACLE v2 AUC 0.7531 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.201 team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.182 Overpass Elo +0.179	MASQ	65.7%	+31.5%	Jun 13 09:45:10	05fdb46452cf21c9…65013a16

T3 Entropy vs Gatorian

Jun 13 2026 09:09 match #2395299 4 models ✓ CORRECT

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
·	NEXUS v2 Market price +0.097 team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.520 team1 elo nuke -0.243	Entropy	55.7%	+11.4%	Jun 13 09:15:09	e8980ca91b39d08b…abd49cc1
★	TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420 Ensemble mean -0.284 Elo win prob +0.026 PHANTOM +0.025	Gatorian	61.0%	+22.0%	Jun 13 00:32:50	928bdd577b21c352…bae871fe
·	PHANTOM v2 AUC 0.7625 Glicko2 rating +0.516 team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.477 team1 elo nuke -0.349	Gatorian	61.1%	+22.2%	Jun 13 00:32:50	8a533158d15f47cb…c3bf03f7
·	ORACLE v2 AUC 0.7531 team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.520 Overpass Elo +0.243 team1 elo nuke -0.243	Gatorian	50.2%	+0.3%	Jun 13 00:32:50	8f511d70815886fc…cf12f375

T3 illwill vs Nuclear TigeRES

Jun 14 2026 17:00 match #2395127 4 models ✗ WRONG

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
·	NEXUS v2 Market price -0.465 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.263 team2 avoid rate nuke 90d +0.242	illwill	69.8%	+39.6%	Jun 13 08:45:31	76ac22ecb82215d1…26c2b21a
★	TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420 Ensemble mean +0.857 PHANTOM +0.381 PHANTOM confidence +0.185	illwill	85.3%	+70.7%	Jun 13 00:32:58	139c4673e555616f…35feb1b2
·	PHANTOM v2 AUC 0.7625 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.422 Glicko2 rating +0.386 team1 pre patch wr -0.309	illwill	93.9%	+87.8%	Jun 13 00:32:58	60fa8126ad9f6104…1e3a20c5
·	ORACLE v2 AUC 0.7531 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.263 team2 avoid rate nuke 90d +0.242 team1 pre patch wr -0.234	illwill	76.5%	+53.0%	Jun 13 00:32:58	8dba39a17a3dea60…36fab1e0

T3 1win vs TDK

Jun 14 2026 14:00 match #2395126 4 models ✓ CORRECT

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
·	NEXUS v2 Market price -0.221 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.284 Overpass Elo +0.243	TDK	51.3%	+2.6%	Jun 13 08:45:31	b9934d71ad0c61b1…725fec4b
★	TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420 Ensemble mean +0.208 PHANTOM +0.136 PHANTOM confidence -0.054	1win	59.5%	+18.9%	Jun 13 00:32:58	253a82d912ffa83a…774b5805
·	PHANTOM v2 AUC 0.7625 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.402 team2 glicko2 rating -0.334 team1 avoid rate nuke 90d -0.268	1win	64.0%	+28.0%	Jun 13 00:32:58	db8b166587778de8…51aa01a6
·	ORACLE v2 AUC 0.7531 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.284 Overpass Elo +0.243 team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.238	1win	52.6%	+5.2%	Jun 13 00:32:58	a990451470ed9b72…90fd4edf

T3 HOTU vs KOLESIE

Jun 14 2026 11:00 match #2395125 4 models ✓ CORRECT

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
·	NEXUS v2 Market price -0.100 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.250 team1 avoid rate mirage 90d +0.239	HOTU	74.9%	+49.8%	Jun 13 08:45:30	af84372ea593cca9…e8a0f87c
★	TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420 Ensemble mean +0.808 PHANTOM +0.223 PHANTOM confidence +0.064	HOTU	80.2%	+60.4%	Jun 13 00:32:57	3bc1c0689f1ccb13…49437f2e
·	PHANTOM v2 AUC 0.7625 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.414 Glicko2 rating +0.345 team2 elo nuke -0.246	HOTU	81.8%	+63.6%	Jun 13 00:32:57	f41e5c1f98363e3e…873aaad1
·	ORACLE v2 AUC 0.7531 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.250 team1 avoid rate mirage 90d +0.239 Overpass Elo +0.235	HOTU	76.5%	+53.0%	Jun 13 00:32:57	b6d325f9b5284127…364b9b5a

T3 K27 vs Walczaki

Jun 14 2026 08:00 match #2395124 4 models ✓ CORRECT

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
·	NEXUS v2 Market price -0.285 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.257 team1 avoid rate nuke 90d -0.205	K27	72.7%	+45.3%	Jun 13 08:30:20	45cf795d102a7892…6e03cc19
★	TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420 Ensemble mean +0.408 PHANTOM +0.126 PHANTOM confidence -0.058	K27	65.8%	+31.6%	Jun 13 00:32:57	8f09dff7e267ef97…21d1ab48
·	PHANTOM v2 AUC 0.7625 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.362 team1 elo nuke -0.342 team1 avoid rate nuke 90d -0.302	K27	64.0%	+28.0%	Jun 13 00:32:57	a0f22a02f37fd946…937e2b5f
·	ORACLE v2 AUC 0.7531 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.257 team1 avoid rate nuke 90d -0.205 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.200	K27	76.5%	+53.0%	Jun 13 00:32:57	de67f25291dab752…d005b286

T3 aimclub vs 6666

Jun 13 2026 08:00 match #2395297 4 models ✗ WRONG

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
·	NEXUS v2 Market price +0.508 team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.373 Overpass Elo +0.284	6666	55.8%	+11.5%	Jun 13 07:00:08	4c8f93aab5069c19…3563cd9d
★	TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420 Ensemble mean -0.358 PHANTOM -0.208 PHANTOM confidence -0.025	6666	72.3%	+44.5%	Jun 13 00:32:52	1ff936faedcadab2…dfefc0bb
·	PHANTOM v2 AUC 0.7625 team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.430 Overpass Elo +0.279 Tier-1 Elo +0.273	6666	73.5%	+47.0%	Jun 13 00:32:52	10e2c8aad0cc35c7…c2af9a40
·	ORACLE v2 AUC 0.7531 team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.373 Overpass Elo +0.284 Tier-1 Elo +0.208	6666	61.8%	+23.6%	Jun 13 00:32:52	0dc03a59087694bb…161243a1

T3 Ground Zero vs MARKandLARRY

Jun 15 2026 08:30 match #2395237 4 models ✓ CORRECT

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
·	NEXUS v2 Market price -0.087 team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.418 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.245	Ground Zero	63.6%	+27.3%	Jun 13 06:30:22	3e33bf56ff664aff…7c0eb434
★	TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420 Ensemble mean +0.464 PHANTOM +0.222 PHANTOM confidence +0.064	Ground Zero	73.9%	+47.8%	Jun 13 00:32:59	91bc05e8e60364f1…6d073e5f
·	PHANTOM v2 AUC 0.7625 team2 pre patch wr +0.476 opening kill rate diff -0.255 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.244	Ground Zero	79.5%	+59.1%	Jun 13 00:32:59	b8db900a6511ff3d…c46015a4
·	ORACLE v2 AUC 0.7531 team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.418 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.245 team2 pre patch wr +0.231	Ground Zero	65.7%	+31.5%	Jun 13 00:32:59	44b1932f619d010f…22c67108

T3 Metizport vs atputies

Jun 13 2026 08:00 match #2395294 4 models ✓ CORRECT

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
·	NEXUS v2 Market price +0.208 team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.198 team1 elo dust2 -0.162	Metizport	80.4%	+60.8%	Jun 13 06:30:11	e880eae0a3fdedb8…d07cbad4
★	TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420 Ensemble mean +0.378 PHANTOM +0.222 Elo win prob +0.058	Metizport	67.9%	+35.7%	Jun 13 00:32:53	0d43a07d81e2bc8c…fe7c34b7
·	PHANTOM v2 AUC 0.7625 opening kill rate diff -0.263 team1 elo nuke +0.227 team1 elo anubis +0.213	Metizport	71.3%	+42.5%	Jun 13 00:32:53	de967948ee61b693…1fff9378
·	ORACLE v2 AUC 0.7531 team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.198 team1 elo dust2 -0.162 team1 elo anubis +0.157	Metizport	66.2%	+32.4%	Jun 13 00:32:53	7242eabc1e4ddca2…8b23b795

T3 Alliance vs SAAB

Jun 13 2026 08:00 match #2395292 4 models ✓ CORRECT

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
·	NEXUS v2 Market price +0.175 team1 avoid rate mirage 90d +0.264 Overpass Elo +0.238	Alliance	89.3%	+78.6%	Jun 13 05:45:07	7d9b2aaee5b369f4…746b7011
★	TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420 Ensemble mean +0.408 PHANTOM +0.126 PHANTOM confidence -0.058	Alliance	65.8%	+31.6%	Jun 13 00:32:51	9b882a66614b7e2d…71eb4584
·	PHANTOM v2 AUC 0.7625 opening kill rate diff -0.300 Glicko2 rating +0.295 Overpass Elo +0.254	Alliance	64.0%	+28.0%	Jun 13 00:32:51	3540f9878f1fd7ca…72afb887
·	ORACLE v2 AUC 0.7531 team1 avoid rate mirage 90d +0.264 Overpass Elo +0.238 team2 result volatility 90d +0.181	Alliance	76.5%	+53.0%	Jun 13 00:32:51	4943a28a2b0a9461…7e8d49ba

T3 fnatic vs Minkens finest

Jun 13 2026 08:00 match #2395296 4 models ✓ CORRECT

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
·	NEXUS v2 Market price +0.417 team1 avoid rate nuke 90d -0.198 Overpass Elo +0.182	fnatic	80.6%	+61.2%	Jun 13 05:45:06	821a3b05ad19d60e…05270ed8
★	TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420 Ensemble mean +0.147 PHANTOM +0.101 Elo win prob +0.038	fnatic	56.8%	+13.6%	Jun 13 00:32:52	8736055b96290ced…5d6e9f2b
·	PHANTOM v2 AUC 0.7625 Overpass Elo +0.287 opening kill rate diff -0.276 team1 avoid rate nuke 90d -0.264	fnatic	51.3%	+2.7%	Jun 13 00:32:52	abbe8205f053d139…65ec9246
·	ORACLE v2 AUC 0.7531 team1 avoid rate nuke 90d -0.198 Overpass Elo +0.182 team2 result volatility 90d +0.176	Minkens finest	50.2%	+0.3%	Jun 13 00:32:52	d1cab4e707851580…26a707f5

T3 DETONATE vs Wanted Goons

Jun 13 2026 19:00 match #2395285 4 models ✗ WRONG

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
·	NEXUS v2 Market price -0.047 team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.494 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.235	Wanted Goons	62.5%	+25.1%	Jun 13 13:45:20	6344e12f89450c1b…5f0937fe
★	TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420 Ensemble mean -0.299 PHANTOM +0.155 Elo win prob +0.038	Wanted Goons	56.5%	+13.0%	Jun 13 05:15:15	ff9feb35b2eb8f42…f81dc4ee
·	PHANTOM v2 AUC 0.7625 team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.432 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.406 team1 pre patch wr -0.333	Wanted Goons	55.2%	+10.3%	Jun 13 05:15:15	de48b12f3c337127…89d8e798
·	ORACLE v2 AUC 0.7531 team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.494 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.235 team1 pre patch wr -0.205	Wanted Goons	61.8%	+23.6%	Jun 13 05:15:15	269605378b0df73b…29fea34b

T3 Marsborne vs Festina Lente

Jun 13 2026 22:00 match #2395287 4 models ✓ CORRECT

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
·	NEXUS v2 Market price +0.012 team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.266 team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.182	Marsborne	50.0%	+0.0%	Jun 13 12:30:15	d029b6df7fb285a8…7c2d2661
★	TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420 Ensemble mean -0.286 Elo win prob +0.027 ORACLE -0.017	Festina Lente	61.9%	+23.9%	Jun 13 03:45:18	604e39476a665df7…cc554380
·	PHANTOM v2 AUC 0.7625 team1 avoid rate nuke 90d -0.289 opening kill rate diff -0.253 team2 elo overpass -0.203	Festina Lente	63.3%	+26.6%	Jun 13 03:45:18	17c6b9f4474f76bf…a732b435
·	ORACLE v2 AUC 0.7531 team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.266 team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.182 team1 avoid rate nuke 90d -0.176	Festina Lente	50.2%	+0.3%	Jun 13 03:45:18	a337c59aec53f02d…c058f0d8

T3 Iowa Stormboar vs Overtake Sector

Jun 13 2026 19:00 match #2395286 4 models ✓ CORRECT

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
·	NEXUS v2 Market price -0.282 Overpass Elo +0.260 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.173	Iowa Stormboar	61.4%	+22.8%	Jun 13 13:45:21	cd32f47e1616253b…dafe3fc1
★	TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420 Ensemble mean +0.465 PHANTOM +0.223 PHANTOM confidence +0.064	Iowa Stormboar	73.9%	+47.8%	Jun 13 03:15:19	99c68fff96bc07c8…8e188082
·	PHANTOM v2 AUC 0.7625 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.408 Glicko2 rating +0.404 opening kill rate diff -0.308	Iowa Stormboar	79.5%	+59.1%	Jun 13 03:15:19	f855e6d7dbd52051…d496b3db
·	ORACLE v2 AUC 0.7531 Overpass Elo +0.260 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.173 team2 elo inferno -0.164	Iowa Stormboar	65.7%	+31.5%	Jun 13 03:15:19	bcce9e4c57e03911…a70a906d

T3 Wanted Goons vs Olympus

Jun 14 2026 00:30 match #2395252 3 models ✗ WRONG

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
★	TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420 Ensemble mean +0.373 PHANTOM +0.129 PHANTOM confidence -0.058	Wanted Goons	64.3%	+28.6%	Jun 13 02:45:17	5ef26b85c98b4d98…e89e4858
·	PHANTOM v2 AUC 0.7625 opening kill rate diff -0.300 Overpass Elo +0.237 team1 match hour local -0.190	Wanted Goons	64.0%	+28.0%	Jun 13 02:45:17	62a68b3d87991785…b82faa75
·	ORACLE v2 AUC 0.7531 team1 wr mirage 30d +0.203 team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.192 Overpass Elo +0.181	Wanted Goons	66.2%	+32.4%	Jun 13 02:45:17	e399104a1930c85e…817c0c70

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