INTEL / PREDICTIONS / VERIFY

Public Prediction Ledger

HOW TO VERIFY ANY PREDICTION

Linux/Mac: echo -n "MODEL|VERSION|MATCH_ID|T1_ID|T2_ID|P1.6f|P2.6f|WINNER_ID" | sha256sum

Python: import hashlib; hashlib.sha256(b"...").hexdigest()

Windows: [System.Text.Encoding]::UTF8.GetBytes("...") | Get-FileHash -Algorithm SHA256 -InputStream ...

Probabilities are formatted to 6 decimal places. Pipe | separator. No spaces, no newline.

957 total predictions — page 20 of 39 (25 matches per page)

T3 Nexus vs Metizport

Jun 13 2026 16:12 match #2395308 4 models ✗ WRONG

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
·	NEXUS v2 Market price +0.201 team2 elo anubis -0.223 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.203	Nexus	58.5%	+16.9%	Jun 13 16:15:11	ff941a180fa220b9…001b9500
★	TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420 Ensemble mean +0.213 PHANTOM +0.134 PHANTOM confidence -0.054	Nexus	59.5%	+18.9%	Jun 13 15:45:09	f317f23969f28306…b49d0a5a
·	PHANTOM v2 AUC 0.7625 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.448 Overpass Elo +0.269 team2 elo overpass -0.262	Nexus	64.0%	+28.0%	Jun 13 15:45:09	191c641837183a9c…eda56156
·	ORACLE v2 AUC 0.7531 team2 elo anubis -0.223 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.203 Schedule strength +0.164	Nexus	54.4%	+8.9%	Jun 13 15:45:09	ed405f5a6ed58094…f41b2a3c

T3 Gatorian vs EAC

Jun 13 2026 15:55 match #2395313 3 models ✗ WRONG

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
★	TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420 Ensemble mean +0.208 PHANTOM +0.136 PHANTOM confidence -0.054	Gatorian	59.5%	+18.9%	Jun 13 15:45:08	3c0e1489c3889d18…4c53c323
·	PHANTOM v2 AUC 0.7625 team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.421 team1 pre patch wr -0.387 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.335	Gatorian	64.0%	+28.0%	Jun 13 15:45:08	5645dae7ae0c1490…16eec277
·	ORACLE v2 AUC 0.7531 team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.491 team1 pre patch wr -0.252 Overpass Elo +0.218	EAC	50.2%	+0.3%	Jun 13 15:45:08	21129ef9e575e86c…44f31850

T3 aimclub vs PURE

Jun 13 2026 15:42 match #2395310 4 models ✗ WRONG

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
·	NEXUS v2 Market price -0.242 Overpass Elo +0.242 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.218	PURE	68.2%	+36.5%	Jun 13 15:45:08	87633fc0617e118e…1d851e91
★	TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420 Ensemble mean -0.287 Elo win prob +0.025 ORACLE -0.016	PURE	62.0%	+24.1%	Jun 13 13:45:18	d73c1a6d3bfb3163…06566f1d
·	PHANTOM v2 AUC 0.7625 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.453 Tier-1 Elo +0.274 Overpass Elo +0.272	PURE	63.3%	+26.6%	Jun 13 13:45:18	06160689084baa29…01eb74e0
·	ORACLE v2 AUC 0.7531 Overpass Elo +0.243 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.221 Tier-1 Elo +0.209	PURE	61.8%	+23.6%	Jun 13 13:45:18	b963e982e3489ad1…2558f705

T3 fnatic vs BASEMENT BOYS

Jun 13 2026 15:42 match #2395309 4 models ✓ CORRECT

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
·	NEXUS v2 Market price +0.504 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.242 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.234	fnatic	55.4%	+10.9%	Jun 13 15:45:08	e9a3d0b398de95aa…83f299a0
★	TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420 Ensemble mean -0.298 PHANTOM +0.153 Elo win prob +0.036	BASEMENT BOYS	56.5%	+13.0%	Jun 13 14:15:12	54783a8717eac160…3eb3ed50
·	PHANTOM v2 AUC 0.7625 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.448 Overpass Elo +0.282 opening kill rate diff -0.265	fnatic	51.3%	+2.7%	Jun 13 14:15:12	495a7224b55f2663…3b183b29
·	ORACLE v2 AUC 0.7531 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.242 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.234 team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.214	BASEMENT BOYS	64.4%	+28.7%	Jun 13 14:15:12	630683aff0c818c6…195f2397

T3 Noir Verse vs Entropy

Jun 13 2026 15:00 match #2395311 3 models ✓ CORRECT

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
★	TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420 Ensemble mean +0.210 PHANTOM +0.135 PHANTOM confidence -0.054	Noir Verse	59.5%	+18.9%	Jun 13 14:15:11	6482d3b8b9a7336e…a276f086
·	PHANTOM v2 AUC 0.7625 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.395 team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.325 team2 glicko2 rating -0.297	Noir Verse	64.0%	+28.0%	Jun 13 14:15:11	2468e1b8195cc93a…ceefb069
·	ORACLE v2 AUC 0.7531 team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.506 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.213 team2 avoid rate nuke 90d +0.184	Entropy	50.2%	+0.3%	Jun 13 14:15:11	a25831babad06e2f…f92ddfe9

T3 Iowa Stormboar vs Overtake Sector

Jun 13 2026 19:00 match #2395286 4 models ✓ CORRECT

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
·	NEXUS v2 Market price -0.282 Overpass Elo +0.260 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.173	Iowa Stormboar	61.4%	+22.8%	Jun 13 13:45:21	cd32f47e1616253b…dafe3fc1
★	TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420 Ensemble mean +0.465 PHANTOM +0.223 PHANTOM confidence +0.064	Iowa Stormboar	73.9%	+47.8%	Jun 13 03:15:19	99c68fff96bc07c8…8e188082
·	PHANTOM v2 AUC 0.7625 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.408 Glicko2 rating +0.404 opening kill rate diff -0.308	Iowa Stormboar	79.5%	+59.1%	Jun 13 03:15:19	f855e6d7dbd52051…d496b3db
·	ORACLE v2 AUC 0.7531 Overpass Elo +0.260 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.173 team2 elo inferno -0.164	Iowa Stormboar	65.7%	+31.5%	Jun 13 03:15:19	bcce9e4c57e03911…a70a906d

T3 DETONATE vs Wanted Goons

Jun 13 2026 19:00 match #2395285 4 models ✗ WRONG

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
·	NEXUS v2 Market price -0.047 team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.494 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.235	Wanted Goons	62.5%	+25.1%	Jun 13 13:45:20	6344e12f89450c1b…5f0937fe
★	TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420 Ensemble mean -0.299 PHANTOM +0.155 Elo win prob +0.038	Wanted Goons	56.5%	+13.0%	Jun 13 05:15:15	ff9feb35b2eb8f42…f81dc4ee
·	PHANTOM v2 AUC 0.7625 team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.432 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.406 team1 pre patch wr -0.333	Wanted Goons	55.2%	+10.3%	Jun 13 05:15:15	de48b12f3c337127…89d8e798
·	ORACLE v2 AUC 0.7531 team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.494 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.235 team1 pre patch wr -0.205	Wanted Goons	61.8%	+23.6%	Jun 13 05:15:15	269605378b0df73b…29fea34b

T3 MASQ vs Washed

Jun 13 2026 13:11 match #2395274 4 models ✓ CORRECT

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
·	NEXUS v2 Market price -0.547 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.205 Overpass Elo +0.182	Washed	51.5%	+2.9%	Jun 13 13:15:10	44a9eff1d0130980…11486b4c
★	TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420 Ensemble mean +0.379 PHANTOM +0.128 PHANTOM confidence -0.058	MASQ	64.9%	+29.7%	Jun 13 09:45:10	4211a096a13f801f…9a4985c8
·	PHANTOM v2 AUC 0.7625 Overpass Elo +0.267 team1 avoid rate ancient 90d +0.258 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.224	MASQ	64.0%	+28.0%	Jun 13 09:45:10	9e1a1810547db96c…ba0028bc
·	ORACLE v2 AUC 0.7531 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.201 team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.182 Overpass Elo +0.179	MASQ	65.7%	+31.5%	Jun 13 09:45:10	05fdb46452cf21c9…65013a16

T3 STATE vs MASONIC

Jun 13 2026 12:41 match #2395273 4 models ✓ CORRECT

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
·	NEXUS v2 Market price -0.024 team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.437 team1 avoid rate mirage 90d +0.348	STATE	53.8%	+7.6%	Jun 13 13:00:11	a9c6a444f53ccf87…a6963e96
★	TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420 Ensemble mean -0.201 Elo win prob +0.104 PHANTOM +0.016	MASONIC	56.3%	+12.5%	Jun 13 10:45:09	58c2f729b210bb53…6033e684
·	PHANTOM v2 AUC 0.7625 Overpass Elo -0.523 team2 elo mirage -0.358 team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.321	MASONIC	61.1%	+22.2%	Jun 13 10:45:09	3b342504fe34448f…638aacd0
·	ORACLE v2 AUC 0.7531 team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.437 team1 avoid rate mirage 90d +0.348 Overpass Elo -0.235	STATE	54.4%	+8.9%	Jun 13 10:45:09	0f949bfb5f3e8370…b06b470c

T3 Marsborne vs Festina Lente

Jun 13 2026 22:00 match #2395287 4 models ✓ CORRECT

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
·	NEXUS v2 Market price +0.012 team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.266 team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.182	Marsborne	50.0%	+0.0%	Jun 13 12:30:15	d029b6df7fb285a8…7c2d2661
★	TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420 Ensemble mean -0.286 Elo win prob +0.027 ORACLE -0.017	Festina Lente	61.9%	+23.9%	Jun 13 03:45:18	604e39476a665df7…cc554380
·	PHANTOM v2 AUC 0.7625 team1 avoid rate nuke 90d -0.289 opening kill rate diff -0.253 team2 elo overpass -0.203	Festina Lente	63.3%	+26.6%	Jun 13 03:45:18	17c6b9f4474f76bf…a732b435
·	ORACLE v2 AUC 0.7531 team2 avoid rate mirage 90d -0.266 team2 forced rate inferno 90d +0.182 team1 avoid rate nuke 90d -0.176	Festina Lente	50.2%	+0.3%	Jun 13 03:45:18	a337c59aec53f02d…c058f0d8

T3 SAAB vs PURE

Jun 13 2026 12:15 match #2395304 3 models ✓ CORRECT

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
★	TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420 Ensemble mean -0.396 PHANTOM -0.220 Elo win prob +0.030	PURE	72.1%	+44.3%	Jun 13 12:15:14	f5101195e7daf25f…93d73449
·	PHANTOM v2 AUC 0.7625 team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.454 team2 opening kill rate 90d +0.349 team1 pre patch wr -0.346	PURE	78.5%	+57.0%	Jun 13 12:15:14	bf4f35b397260679…dd49cd52
·	ORACLE v2 AUC 0.7531 team1 avoid rate overpass 90d -0.526 team1 pre patch wr -0.237 team2 avoid rate overpass 90d +0.186	PURE	61.8%	+23.6%	Jun 13 12:15:14	317016628550c35c…436dff2f

T3 Alliance vs Nexus

Jun 13 2026 12:15 match #2395300 3 models ✗ WRONG

	Model	Pick	Win Prob	Edge	Made at	SHA-256 Hash
★	TITAN v2 AUC 0.7420 Ensemble mean +0.408 PHANTOM +0.126 PHANTOM confidence -0.058	Alliance	65.8%	+31.6%	Jun 13 12:15:13	b2083488a33c0211…044c9147
·	PHANTOM v2 AUC 0.7625 opening kill rate diff -0.309 Glicko2 rating +0.293 team1 avoid rate ancient 90d +0.256	Alliance	64.0%	+28.0%	Jun 13 12:15:13	892ec4750c8e4d6b…4000e555
·	ORACLE v2 AUC 0.7531 team1 avoid rate mirage 90d +0.263 Overpass Elo +0.229 team2 result volatility 90d +0.180	Alliance	76.5%	+53.0%	Jun 13 12:15:13	6d4a4eec9a1ec2e8…1b50c0d0

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